Napoli 1–0 Bologna — Match Recap & Tip AnalysisNapoli faced Bologna in Serie A on 13 September 2026. The match ended **1–0**, with Napoli taking the victory over Bologna. We placed **6 tips** on this match — **3 won** and **3 lost** (50% hit rate). ## Tip Results ❌ **Double Chance (X2)** @ 1.91 (confidence: 53%) — **LOST** The result fell outside the double chance coverage. ✅ **Under 3.5 Goals** @ 1.35 (confidence: 75%) — **WON** 1 goal — clear of the 3.5 line. ❌ **Over 2.5 Cards** @ 1.38 (confidence: 71%) — **LOST** 1 card — the 2.5 line went the other way. ✅ **Over 8.5 Corners** @ 1.70 (confidence: 61%) — **WON** ⭐ Main Tip 10 corners — clear of the 8.5 line. ✅ **Under 1.5 Goals (1st Half)** @ 1.40 (confidence: 71%) — **WON** 0 first-half goals — clear of the 1.5 line. ❌ **Correct Score: 1-1** @ 6.60 (confidence: 13%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Double Chance (X2) | 1.91 | 53% | ❌ LOST | | Under 3.5 Goals | 1.35 | 75% | ✅ WON | | Over 2.5 Cards | 1.38 | 71% | ❌ LOST | | Over 8.5 Corners ⭐ | 1.70 | 61% | ✅ WON | | Under 1.5 Goals (1st Half) | 1.40 | 71% | ✅ WON | | Correct Score: 1-1 | 6.60 | 13% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 3 of 6 tips won** (50% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 2.55 | 1 | | Corners | 9.7 | 10 | | Yellow Cards | 4.0 | 1 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 67% | No | Fewer goals than our model predicted. The defences outperformed expectations. ## Head-to-Head History 11.05.26 Napoli 2-3 Bologna | 22.12.25 Napoli 2-0 Bologna | 09.11.25 Bologna 2-0 Napoli ## Pre-Match Odds | Napoli Win | Draw | Bologna Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 1.95 | 3.55 | 4.10 | --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*