Napoli 3–3 AS Roma — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Napoli faced AS Roma in Serie A on 24 October 2026. The match ended **3–3** in a draw. We placed **7 tips** on this match — **5 won** and **2 lost** (71% hit rate). ## Tip Results ✅ **Double Chance (1X)** @ 1.50 (confidence: 65%) — **WON** The 3–3 result covered this double chance selection. ✅ **Over 2.5 Goals** @ 1.87 (confidence: 56%) — **WON** 6 goals — clear of the 2.5 line. ✅ **Both Teams to Score or Over 2.5 Goals** @ 1.47 (confidence: 67%) — **WON** 6 goals — clear of the 2.5 line. ❌ **Under 4.5 Cards** @ 1.65 (confidence: 67%) — **LOST** 5 cards — the 4.5 line went the other way. ✅ **Over 8.5 Corners** @ 1.75 (confidence: 55%) — **WON** 13 corners — clear of the 8.5 line. ✅ **Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half)** @ 1.40 (confidence: 73%) — **WON** ⭐ Main Tip 1 first-half goal — clear of the 0.5 line. ❌ **Correct Score: 1-2** @ 9.60 (confidence: 10%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Double Chance (1X) | 1.50 | 65% | ✅ WON | | Over 2.5 Goals | 1.87 | 56% | ✅ WON | | Both Teams to Score or Over 2.5 Goals | 1.47 | 67% | ✅ WON | | Under 4.5 Cards | 1.65 | 67% | ❌ LOST | | Over 8.5 Corners | 1.75 | 55% | ✅ WON | | Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half) ⭐ | 1.40 | 73% | ✅ WON | | Correct Score: 1-2 | 9.60 | 10% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 5 of 7 tips won** (71% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 2.92 | 6 | | Corners | 9.2 | 13 | | Yellow Cards | 3.8 | 5 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 72% | Yes (1) | The match exceeded our expected goals model significantly — a higher-scoring affair than the statistics suggested. ## Head-to-Head History 15.02.26 Napoli 2-2 AS Roma | 30.11.25 AS Roma 0-1 Napoli | 02.02.25 AS Roma 1-1 Napoli | 24.11.24 Napoli 1-0 AS Roma | 28.04.24 Napoli 2-2 AS Roma ## Pre-Match Odds | Napoli Win | Draw | AS Roma Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 2.70 | 3.35 | 2.70 | --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*