Nacional 0–4 Famalicao — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Nacional faced Famalicao in Primeira Liga on 19 September 2026. The match ended **0–4**, with Famalicao taking the victory over Nacional. We placed **6 tips** on this match — **1 won** and **5 lost** (17% hit rate). ## Tip Results ❌ **Double Chance (1X)** @ 1.75 (confidence: 58%) — **LOST** The result fell outside the double chance coverage. ❌ **Under 2.5 Goals** @ 1.72 (confidence: 57%) — **LOST** 4 goals — the 2.5 line went the other way. ✅ **Under 6.5 Cards** @ 1.45 (confidence: 74%) — **WON** ⭐ Main Tip 0 cards — clear of the 6.5 line. ❌ **Under 9.5 Corners** @ 1.78 (confidence: 58%) — **LOST** 10 corners — the 9.5 line went the other way. ❌ **Under 1.5 Goals (1st Half)** @ 1.35 (confidence: 74%) — **LOST** 3 first-half goals — the 1.5 line went the other way. ❌ **Correct Score: 1-1** @ 6.10 (confidence: 13%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Double Chance (1X) | 1.75 | 58% | ❌ LOST | | Under 2.5 Goals | 1.72 | 57% | ❌ LOST | | Under 6.5 Cards ⭐ | 1.45 | 74% | ✅ WON | | Under 9.5 Corners | 1.78 | 58% | ❌ LOST | | Under 1.5 Goals (1st Half) | 1.35 | 74% | ❌ LOST | | Correct Score: 1-1 | 6.10 | 13% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 1 of 6 tips won** (17% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 2.39 | 4 | | Corners | 9.1 | 10 | | Yellow Cards | 5.0 | 5 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 65% | Yes (3) | The match exceeded our expected goals model significantly — a higher-scoring affair than the statistics suggested. ## Head-to-Head History 21.03.26 Famalicao 1-0 Nacional | 01.11.25 Nacional 0-1 Famalicao | 01.03.25 Nacional 2-1 Famalicao | 29.09.24 Famalicao 0-0 Nacional | 16.05.21 Famalicao 3-0 Nacional ## Pre-Match Odds | Nacional Win | Draw | Famalicao Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 3.75 | 3.35 | 2.12 | --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*