MTK Budapest 1–2 Kisvarda — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

MTK Budapest faced Kisvarda in NB I on 5 September 2026. The match ended **1–2**, with Kisvarda taking the victory over MTK Budapest. We placed **4 tips** on this match — **1 won** and **3 lost** (25% hit rate). ## Tip Results ❌ **MTK Budapest to Win** @ 2.02 (confidence: 50%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ✅ **Over 2.5 Goals** @ 1.60 (confidence: 62%) — **WON** 3 total goals cleared the 2.5 line. ❌ **Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half)** @ 1.33 (confidence: 76%) — **LOST** ⭐ Main Tip Not enough first-half goals to clear the 0.5 line. ❌ **Correct Score: 2-1** @ 9.00 (confidence: 10%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | MTK Budapest to Win | 2.02 | 50% | ❌ LOST | | Over 2.5 Goals | 1.60 | 62% | ✅ WON | | Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half) ⭐ | 1.33 | 76% | ❌ LOST | | Correct Score: 2-1 | 9.00 | 10% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 1 of 4 tips won** (25% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 3.20 | 3 | | Corners | 10.4 | — | | Yellow Cards | 4.3 | — | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 76% | No | The actual goals were close to our expected model, confirming our statistical analysis was well-calibrated. ## Head-to-Head History 18.04.26 MTK Budapest 2-1 Kisvarda | 24.01.26 Kisvarda 2-3 MTK Budapest | 28.09.25 MTK Budapest 4-0 Kisvarda | 02.04.24 Kisvarda 3-2 MTK Budapest | 17.03.24 MTK Budapest 2-1 Kisvarda ## Pre-Match Odds | MTK Budapest Win | Draw | Kisvarda Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 2.02 | 3.60 | 3.35 | An upset result — the market had the winner as the underdog at 3.35. --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*