Moreirense 2–1 Estrela — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Moreirense faced Estrela in Primeira Liga on 31 October 2026. The match ended **2–1**, with Moreirense taking the victory over Estrela. We placed **7 tips** on this match — **4 won** and **3 lost** (57% hit rate). ## Tip Results ✅ **Double Chance (1X)** @ 1.57 (confidence: 64%) — **WON** The 2–1 result covered this double chance selection. ✅ **Over 2.5 Goals** @ 2.12 (confidence: 50%) — **WON** 3 goals — clear of the 2.5 line. ✅ **Both Teams to Score or Over 2.5 Goals** @ 1.59 (confidence: 62%) — **WON** 3 goals — clear of the 2.5 line. ✅ **Under 6.5 Cards** @ 1.32 (confidence: 77%) — **WON** ⭐ Main Tip 1 card — clear of the 6.5 line. ❌ **Over 7.5 Corners** @ 1.50 (confidence: 64%) — **LOST** 6 corners — the 7.5 line went the other way. ❌ **Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half)** @ 1.50 (confidence: 68%) — **LOST** 0 first-half goals — the 0.5 line went the other way. ❌ **Correct Score: 1-1** @ 5.90 (confidence: 11%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Double Chance (1X) | 1.57 | 64% | ✅ WON | | Over 2.5 Goals | 2.12 | 50% | ✅ WON | | Both Teams to Score or Over 2.5 Goals | 1.59 | 62% | ✅ WON | | Under 6.5 Cards ⭐ | 1.32 | 77% | ✅ WON | | Over 7.5 Corners | 1.50 | 64% | ❌ LOST | | Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half) | 1.50 | 68% | ❌ LOST | | Correct Score: 1-1 | 5.90 | 11% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 4 of 7 tips won** (57% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 2.69 | 3 | | Corners | 8.9 | 6 | | Yellow Cards | 4.8 | 1 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 69% | No | The actual goals were close to our expected model, confirming our statistical analysis was well-calibrated. ## Head-to-Head History 02.05.26 Moreirense 3-2 Estrela | 20.12.25 Estrela 0-0 Moreirense | 02.03.25 Moreirense 1-1 Estrela | 28.09.24 Estrela 2-1 Moreirense | 07.04.24 Moreirense 2-2 Estrela ## Pre-Match Odds | Moreirense Win | Draw | Estrela Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 3.00 | 3.25 | 2.45 | --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*