Moreirense 0–4 Benfica — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Moreirense faced Benfica in Primeira Liga on 9 September 2026. The match ended **0–4**, with Benfica taking the victory over Moreirense. We placed **5 tips** on this match — **2 won** and **3 lost** (40% hit rate). ## Tip Results ✅ **Over 2.5 Goals** @ 1.47 (confidence: 70%) — **WON** ⭐ Main Tip 4 goals — clear of the 2.5 line. ❌ **Under 4.5 Cards** @ 1.53 (confidence: 63%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ❌ **Under 9.5 Corners** @ 1.68 (confidence: 59%) — **LOST** The corner market didn't hit. ✅ **Over 1.5 Goals (2nd Half)** @ 1.65 (confidence: 60%) — **WON** The second half produced over 1.5 goals. ❌ **Correct Score: 0-3** @ 6.50 (confidence: 10%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Over 2.5 Goals ⭐ | 1.47 | 70% | ✅ WON | | Under 4.5 Cards | 1.53 | 63% | ❌ LOST | | Under 9.5 Corners | 1.68 | 59% | ❌ LOST | | Over 1.5 Goals (2nd Half) | 1.65 | 60% | ✅ WON | | Correct Score: 0-3 | 6.50 | 10% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 2 of 5 tips won** (40% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 3.64 | 4 | | Corners | 9.0 | — | | Yellow Cards | 4.0 | — | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 80% | — | The actual goals were close to our expected model, confirming our statistical analysis was well-calibrated. ## Head-to-Head History 25.04.26 Benfica 4-1 Moreirense | 14.12.25 Moreirense 0-4 Benfica | 08.02.25 Benfica 3-2 Moreirense | 30.08.24 Moreirense 1-1 Benfica | 14.04.24 Benfica 3-0 Moreirense ## Pre-Match Odds | Moreirense Win | Draw | Benfica Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 14.50 | 8.00 | 1.19 | A predictable result, with the winner heavily favoured at 1.19. --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*