Monza 2–1 Sassuolo — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Monza faced Sassuolo in Serie A on 18 September 2026. The match ended **2–1**, with Monza taking the victory over Sassuolo. We placed **6 tips** on this match — **3 won** and **3 lost** (50% hit rate). ## Tip Results ❌ **Double Chance (X2)** @ 1.47 (confidence: 66%) — **LOST** The result fell outside the double chance coverage. ✅ **Over 2.5 Goals** @ 1.74 (confidence: 65%) — **WON** ⭐ Main Tip 3 goals — clear of the 2.5 line. ✅ **Under 4.5 Cards** @ 1.47 (confidence: 70%) — **WON** 0 cards — clear of the 4.5 line. ✅ **Over 8.5 Corners** @ 1.74 (confidence: 58%) — **WON** 12 corners — clear of the 8.5 line. ❌ **Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half)** @ 1.38 (confidence: 78%) — **LOST** 0 first-half goals — the 0.5 line went the other way. ❌ **Correct Score: 1-2** @ 9.50 (confidence: 7%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Double Chance (X2) | 1.47 | 66% | ❌ LOST | | Over 2.5 Goals ⭐ | 1.74 | 65% | ✅ WON | | Under 4.5 Cards | 1.47 | 70% | ✅ WON | | Over 8.5 Corners | 1.74 | 58% | ✅ WON | | Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half) | 1.38 | 78% | ❌ LOST | | Correct Score: 1-2 | 9.50 | 7% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 3 of 6 tips won** (50% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 3.37 | 3 | | Corners | 9.5 | 12 | | Yellow Cards | 3.6 | 5 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 77% | No | The actual goals were close to our expected model, confirming our statistical analysis was well-calibrated. ## Head-to-Head History 03.08.24 Monza 2-2 Sassuolo | 28.01.24 Monza 1-0 Sassuolo | 02.10.23 Sassuolo 0-1 Monza | 19.05.23 Sassuolo 1-2 Monza | 22.01.23 Monza 1-1 Sassuolo ## Pre-Match Odds | Monza Win | Draw | Sassuolo Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 2.77 | 3.45 | 2.57 | --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*