Monza 4–0 Cagliari — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Monza faced Cagliari in Serie A on 19 October 2026. The match ended **4–0**, with Monza taking the victory over Cagliari. We placed **7 tips** on this match — **4 won** and **3 lost** (57% hit rate). ## Tip Results ❌ **Double Chance (X2)** @ 1.61 (confidence: 66%) — **LOST** The result fell outside the double chance coverage. ❌ **Under 3.5 Goals** @ 1.30 (confidence: 78%) — **LOST** ⭐ Main Tip 4 goals — the 3.5 line went the other way. ✅ **Both Teams to Score & Over 2.5 Goals (No)** @ 1.56 (confidence: 65%) — **WON** 4 goals — clear of the 2.5 line. ✅ **Under 4.5 Cards** @ 1.51 (confidence: 69%) — **WON** 3 cards — clear of the 4.5 line. ✅ **Over 7.5 Corners** @ 1.39 (confidence: 71%) — **WON** 9 corners — clear of the 7.5 line. ✅ **Under 1.5 Goals (1st Half)** @ 1.40 (confidence: 72%) — **WON** 1 first-half goal — clear of the 1.5 line. ❌ **Correct Score: 0-1** @ 9.50 (confidence: 16%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Double Chance (X2) | 1.61 | 66% | ❌ LOST | | Under 3.5 Goals ⭐ | 1.30 | 78% | ❌ LOST | | Both Teams to Score & Over 2.5 Goals (No) | 1.56 | 65% | ✅ WON | | Under 4.5 Cards | 1.51 | 69% | ✅ WON | | Over 7.5 Corners | 1.39 | 71% | ✅ WON | | Under 1.5 Goals (1st Half) | 1.40 | 72% | ✅ WON | | Correct Score: 0-1 | 9.50 | 16% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 4 of 7 tips won** (57% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 2.38 | 4 | | Corners | 9.6 | 9 | | Yellow Cards | 3.6 | 3 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 65% | Yes (1) | The match exceeded our expected goals model significantly — a higher-scoring affair than the statistics suggested. ## Head-to-Head History 30.03.25 Cagliari 3-0 Monza | 05.01.25 Monza 1-2 Cagliari | 16.03.24 Monza 1-0 Cagliari | 26.11.23 Cagliari 1-1 Monza | 11.03.01 Monza 1-0 Cagliari ## Pre-Match Odds | Monza Win | Draw | Cagliari Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 2.42 | 3.20 | 3.25 | --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*