Manchester City 0–1 Brighton — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Manchester City faced Brighton in Premier League on 31 October 2026. The match ended **0–1**, with Brighton taking the victory over Manchester City. We placed **7 tips** on this match — **2 won** and **5 lost** (29% hit rate). ## Tip Results ❌ **Double Chance (1X)** @ 1.25 (confidence: 78%) — **LOST** The result fell outside the double chance coverage. ❌ **Over 2.5 Goals** @ 1.52 (confidence: 69%) — **LOST** 1 goal — the 2.5 line went the other way. ❌ **Both Teams to Score or Over 2.5 Goals** @ 1.30 (confidence: 76%) — **LOST** ⭐ Main Tip 1 goal — the 2.5 line went the other way. ✅ **Over 2.5 Cards** @ 1.30 (confidence: 73%) — **WON** 3 cards — clear of the 2.5 line. ✅ **Under 10.5 Corners** @ 1.75 (confidence: 56%) — **WON** 10 corners — clear of the 10.5 line. ❌ **Over 1.5 Goals (2nd Half)** @ 1.72 (confidence: 59%) — **LOST** 0 second-half goals — the 1.5 line went the other way. ❌ **Correct Score: 1-2** @ 13.00 (confidence: 9%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Double Chance (1X) | 1.25 | 78% | ❌ LOST | | Over 2.5 Goals | 1.52 | 69% | ❌ LOST | | Both Teams to Score or Over 2.5 Goals ⭐ | 1.30 | 76% | ❌ LOST | | Over 2.5 Cards | 1.30 | 73% | ✅ WON | | Under 10.5 Corners | 1.75 | 56% | ✅ WON | | Over 1.5 Goals (2nd Half) | 1.72 | 59% | ❌ LOST | | Correct Score: 1-2 | 13.00 | 9% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 2 of 7 tips won** (29% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 3.57 | 1 | | Corners | 10.2 | 10 | | Yellow Cards | 4.1 | 3 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 79% | — | Fewer goals than our model predicted. The defences outperformed expectations. ## Head-to-Head History 07.01.26 Manchester City 1-1 Brighton | 31.08.25 Brighton 2-1 Manchester City | 15.03.25 Manchester City 2-2 Brighton | 09.11.24 Brighton 2-1 Manchester City | 25.04.24 Brighton 0-4 Manchester City ## Pre-Match Odds | Manchester City Win | Draw | Brighton Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 1.75 | 4.15 | 4.35 | An upset result — the market had the winner as the underdog at 4.35. --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*