Mainz 1–3 Eintracht Frankfurt — Match Recap & Tip AnalysisMainz faced Eintracht Frankfurt in Bundesliga on 12 September 2026. The match ended **1–3**, with Eintracht Frankfurt taking the victory over Mainz. We placed **5 tips** on this match — **4 won** and **1 lost** (80% hit rate). ## Tip Results ❌ **Double Chance (1X)** @ 1.27 (confidence: 76%) — **LOST** The result fell outside the double chance coverage. ✅ **Over 2.5 Goals** @ 1.47 (confidence: 84%) — **WON** ⭐ Main Tip 4 goals — clear of the 2.5 line. ✅ **Under 4.5 Cards** @ 1.73 (confidence: 62%) — **WON** This prediction was correct. ✅ **Over 8.5 Corners** @ 1.51 (confidence: 65%) — **WON** The corner count went our way. ✅ **Over 1.5 Goals (1st Half)** @ 2.18 (confidence: 60%) — **WON** The first half delivered over 1.5 goals as predicted. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Double Chance (1X) | 1.27 | 76% | ❌ LOST | | Over 2.5 Goals ⭐ | 1.47 | 84% | ✅ WON | | Under 4.5 Cards | 1.73 | 62% | ✅ WON | | Over 8.5 Corners | 1.51 | 65% | ✅ WON | | Over 1.5 Goals (1st Half) | 2.18 | 60% | ✅ WON | **Overall: 4 of 5 tips won** (80% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 4.62 | 4 | | Corners | 10.1 | — | | Yellow Cards | 4.1 | — | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 87% | — | The actual goals were close to our expected model, confirming our statistical analysis was well-calibrated. ## Head-to-Head History 22.03.26 Mainz 2-1 Eintracht Frankfurt | 09.11.25 Eintracht Frankfurt 1-0 Mainz | 04.05.25 Mainz 1-1 Eintracht Frankfurt ## Pre-Match Odds | Mainz Win | Draw | Eintracht Frankfurt Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 1.80 | 4.20 | 4.00 | An upset result — the market had the winner as the underdog at 4.00. --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*