Lyon 1–1 Le Havre — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Lyon faced Le Havre in Ligue 1 on 29 August 2026. The match ended **1–1** in a draw. We placed **5 tips** on this match — **2 won** and **3 lost** (40% hit rate). ## Tip Results ❌ **Lyon to Win** @ 1.50 (confidence: 64%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ✅ **Under 3.5 Goals** @ 1.44 (confidence: 68%) — **WON** With 2 total goals, the match stayed under the 3.5 line. ❌ **Over 3.5 Cards** @ 1.45 (confidence: 65%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ✅ **Over 9.5 Corners** @ 1.75 (confidence: 54%) — **WON** The corner count went our way. ❌ **Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half)** @ 1.37 (confidence: 71%) — **LOST** ⭐ Main Tip Not enough first-half goals to clear the 0.5 line. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Lyon to Win | 1.50 | 64% | ❌ LOST | | Under 3.5 Goals | 1.44 | 68% | ✅ WON | | Over 3.5 Cards | 1.45 | 65% | ❌ LOST | | Over 9.5 Corners | 1.75 | 54% | ✅ WON | | Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half) ⭐ | 1.37 | 71% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 2 of 5 tips won** (40% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 2.85 | 2 | | Corners | 10.1 | 10 | | Yellow Cards | 4.7 | 2 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 71% | No | The actual goals were close to our expected model, confirming our statistical analysis was well-calibrated. ## Head-to-Head History 15.03.26 Le Havre 0-0 Lyon | 14.12.25 Lyon 1-0 Le Havre | 16.03.25 Lyon 4-2 Le Havre | 20.10.24 Le Havre 0-4 Lyon | 14.01.24 Le Havre 3-1 Lyon ## Pre-Match Odds | Lyon Win | Draw | Le Havre Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 1.50 | 4.40 | 6.60 | --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*