Lugano 3–0 Kauno Zalgiris — Match Recap & Tip AnalysisLugano faced Kauno Zalgiris in Conference League on 5 November 2026. The match ended **3–0**, with Lugano taking the victory over Kauno Zalgiris. We placed **6 tips** on this match — **3 won** and **3 lost** (50% hit rate). ## Tip Results ❌ **Over 3.5 Goals** @ 1.92 (confidence: 61%) — **LOST** 3 goals — the 3.5 line went the other way. ✅ **Both Teams to Score or Over 2.5 Goals** @ 1.27 (confidence: 80%) — **WON** 3 goals — clear of the 2.5 line. ✅ **Under 4.5 Cards** @ 1.37 (confidence: 69%) — **WON** 3 cards — clear of the 4.5 line. ✅ **Under 11.5 Corners** @ 1.33 (confidence: 72%) — **WON** ⭐ Main Tip 6 corners — clear of the 11.5 line. ❌ **Over 1.5 Goals (2nd Half)** @ 1.56 (confidence: 68%) — **LOST** 0 second-half goals — the 1.5 line went the other way. ❌ **Correct Score: 3-1** @ 9.90 (confidence: 7%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Over 3.5 Goals | 1.92 | 61% | ❌ LOST | | Both Teams to Score or Over 2.5 Goals | 1.27 | 80% | ✅ WON | | Under 4.5 Cards | 1.37 | 69% | ✅ WON | | Under 11.5 Corners ⭐ | 1.33 | 72% | ✅ WON | | Over 1.5 Goals (2nd Half) | 1.56 | 68% | ❌ LOST | | Correct Score: 3-1 | 9.90 | 7% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 3 of 6 tips won** (50% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 4.22 | 3 | | Corners | 9.6 | 6 | | Yellow Cards | 3.6 | 3 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 84% | — | Fewer goals than our model predicted. The defences outperformed expectations. ## Pre-Match Odds | Lugano Win | Draw | Kauno Zalgiris Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 1.18 | 8.00 | 14.00 | A predictable result, with the winner heavily favoured at 1.18. --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*