Lugano 3–2 Crvena zvezda — Match Recap & Tip AnalysisLugano faced Crvena zvezda in Conference League on 15 October 2026. The match ended **3–2**, with Lugano taking the victory over Crvena zvezda. We placed **6 tips** on this match — **3 won** and **3 lost** (50% hit rate). ## Tip Results ✅ **Double Chance (1X)** @ 1.55 (confidence: 66%) — **WON** The 3–2 result covered this double chance selection. ❌ **Under 3.5 Goals** @ 1.48 (confidence: 71%) — **LOST** 5 goals — the 3.5 line went the other way. ❌ **Both Teams to Score & Over 2.5 Goals (No)** @ 1.83 (confidence: 65%) — **LOST** 5 goals — the 2.5 line went the other way. ✅ **Over 3.5 Cards** @ 1.37 (confidence: 68%) — **WON** 6 cards — clear of the 3.5 line. ✅ **Under 11.5 Corners** @ 1.31 (confidence: 74%) — **WON** ⭐ Main Tip 8 corners — clear of the 11.5 line. ❌ **Correct Score: 1-1** @ 6.80 (confidence: 13%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Double Chance (1X) | 1.55 | 66% | ✅ WON | | Under 3.5 Goals | 1.48 | 71% | ❌ LOST | | Both Teams to Score & Over 2.5 Goals (No) | 1.83 | 65% | ❌ LOST | | Over 3.5 Cards | 1.37 | 68% | ✅ WON | | Under 11.5 Corners ⭐ | 1.31 | 74% | ✅ WON | | Correct Score: 1-1 | 6.80 | 13% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 3 of 6 tips won** (50% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 2.74 | 5 | | Corners | 9.4 | 8 | | Yellow Cards | 4.9 | 6 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 70% | — | The match exceeded our expected goals model significantly — a higher-scoring affair than the statistics suggested. ## Pre-Match Odds | Lugano Win | Draw | Crvena zvezda Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 2.80 | 3.55 | 2.75 | --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*