Liverpool 4–3 Villarreal — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Liverpool faced Villarreal in Champions League on 20 October 2026. The match ended **4–3**, with Liverpool taking the victory over Villarreal. We placed **7 tips** on this match — **6 won** and **1 lost** (86% hit rate). ## Tip Results ✅ **Liverpool to Win** @ 1.54 (confidence: 62%) — **WON** This prediction was correct. ✅ **Over 2.5 Goals** @ 1.46 (confidence: 69%) — **WON** ⭐ Main Tip 7 goals — clear of the 2.5 line. ✅ **Both Teams to Score or Over 2.5 Goals** @ 1.29 (confidence: 76%) — **WON** 7 goals — clear of the 2.5 line. ✅ **Under 4.5 Cards** @ 1.48 (confidence: 67%) — **WON** 2 cards — clear of the 4.5 line. ✅ **Over 8.5 Corners** @ 1.49 (confidence: 68%) — **WON** 9 corners — clear of the 8.5 line. ✅ **Over 1.5 Goals (2nd Half)** @ 1.70 (confidence: 59%) — **WON** 3 second-half goals — clear of the 1.5 line. ❌ **Correct Score: 2-1** @ 8.30 (confidence: 9%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Liverpool to Win | 1.54 | 62% | ✅ WON | | Over 2.5 Goals ⭐ | 1.46 | 69% | ✅ WON | | Both Teams to Score or Over 2.5 Goals | 1.29 | 76% | ✅ WON | | Under 4.5 Cards | 1.48 | 67% | ✅ WON | | Over 8.5 Corners | 1.49 | 68% | ✅ WON | | Over 1.5 Goals (2nd Half) | 1.70 | 59% | ✅ WON | | Correct Score: 2-1 | 8.30 | 9% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 6 of 7 tips won** (86% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 3.57 | 7 | | Corners | 10.4 | 9 | | Yellow Cards | 3.8 | 2 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 79% | — | The match exceeded our expected goals model significantly — a higher-scoring affair than the statistics suggested. ## Head-to-Head History 03.05.22 Villarreal 2-3 Liverpool | 27.04.22 Liverpool 2-0 Villarreal | 05.05.16 Liverpool 3-0 Villarreal | 28.04.16 Villarreal 1-0 Liverpool ## Pre-Match Odds | Liverpool Win | Draw | Villarreal Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 1.54 | 4.85 | 5.70 | --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*