Lincoln 4–1 Burnley — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Lincoln faced Burnley in Championship on 24 October 2026. The match ended **4–1**, with Lincoln taking the victory over Burnley. We placed **7 tips** on this match — **4 won** and **3 lost** (57% hit rate). ## Tip Results ❌ **Double Chance (X2)** @ 1.45 (confidence: 67%) — **LOST** The result fell outside the double chance coverage. ✅ **Over 1.5 Goals** @ 1.30 (confidence: 78%) — **WON** ⭐ Main Tip 5 goals — clear of the 1.5 line. ✅ **Both Teams to Score or Over 2.5 Goals** @ 1.49 (confidence: 65%) — **WON** 5 goals — clear of the 2.5 line. ✅ **Under 5.5 Cards** @ 1.45 (confidence: 68%) — **WON** 2 cards — clear of the 5.5 line. ❌ **Over 8.5 Corners** @ 1.56 (confidence: 64%) — **LOST** 7 corners — the 8.5 line went the other way. ✅ **Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half)** @ 1.42 (confidence: 72%) — **WON** 2 first-half goals — clear of the 0.5 line. ❌ **Correct Score: 1-1** @ 6.10 (confidence: 11%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Double Chance (X2) | 1.45 | 67% | ❌ LOST | | Over 1.5 Goals ⭐ | 1.30 | 78% | ✅ WON | | Both Teams to Score or Over 2.5 Goals | 1.49 | 65% | ✅ WON | | Under 5.5 Cards | 1.45 | 68% | ✅ WON | | Over 8.5 Corners | 1.56 | 64% | ❌ LOST | | Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half) | 1.42 | 72% | ✅ WON | | Correct Score: 1-1 | 6.10 | 11% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 4 of 7 tips won** (57% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 2.84 | 5 | | Corners | 10.0 | 7 | | Yellow Cards | 4.6 | 2 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 71% | Yes (2) | The match exceeded our expected goals model significantly — a higher-scoring affair than the statistics suggested. ## Head-to-Head History 18.02.17 Burnley 0-1 Lincoln | 30.01.99 Lincoln 1-1 Burnley | 28.12.98 Burnley 1-1 Lincoln ## Pre-Match Odds | Lincoln Win | Draw | Burnley Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 2.85 | 3.40 | 3.15 | --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*