Lillestrom 1–4 Fredrikstad — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Lillestrom faced Fredrikstad in Eliteserien on 30 August 2026. The match ended **1–4**, with Fredrikstad taking the victory over Lillestrom. We placed **5 tips** on this match — **2 won** and **3 lost** (40% hit rate). ## Tip Results ❌ **Double Chance (1X)** @ 1.22 (confidence: 79%) — **LOST** The result fell outside the double chance coverage. ❌ **Under 3.5 Goals** @ 1.47 (confidence: 75%) — **LOST** ⭐ Main Tip The match produced 5 goals, exceeding the 3.5 line. ✅ **Over 10.5 Corners** @ 1.82 (confidence: 53%) — **WON** The corner count went our way. ✅ **Under 2.5 Goals (2nd Half)** @ 1.30 (confidence: 82%) — **WON** The second half stayed under 2.5 goals as we expected. ❌ **Correct Score: 0-0** @ 9.00 (confidence: 18%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Double Chance (1X) | 1.22 | 79% | ❌ LOST | | Under 3.5 Goals ⭐ | 1.47 | 75% | ❌ LOST | | Over 10.5 Corners | 1.82 | 53% | ✅ WON | | Under 2.5 Goals (2nd Half) | 1.30 | 82% | ✅ WON | | Correct Score: 0-0 | 9.00 | 18% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 2 of 5 tips won** (40% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 2.52 | 5 | | Corners | 11.0 | — | | Yellow Cards | 3.3 | — | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 67% | — | The match exceeded our expected goals model significantly — a higher-scoring affair than the statistics suggested. ## Head-to-Head History 11.07.26 Fredrikstad 0-2 Lillestrom | 31.01.26 Lillestrom 2-2 Fredrikstad | 21.05.25Pen Lillestrom 1-1 Fredrikstad | 22.03.25 Fredrikstad 1-0 Lillestrom | 20.10.24 Fredrikstad 2-1 Lillestrom ## Pre-Match Odds | Lillestrom Win | Draw | Fredrikstad Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 1.72 | 3.70 | 4.55 | An upset result — the market had the winner as the underdog at 4.55. --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*