Lens 2–1 Paris FC — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Lens faced Paris FC in Ligue 1 on 24 October 2026. The match ended **2–1**, with Lens taking the victory over Paris FC. We placed **7 tips** on this match — **4 won** and **3 lost** (57% hit rate). ## Tip Results ❌ **Double Chance (X2)** @ 1.57 (confidence: 65%) — **LOST** The result fell outside the double chance coverage. ✅ **Under 3.5 Goals** @ 1.53 (confidence: 66%) — **WON** 3 goals — clear of the 3.5 line. ✅ **Both Teams to Score or Over 2.5 Goals** @ 1.36 (confidence: 68%) — **WON** 3 goals — clear of the 2.5 line. ❌ **Under 4.5 Cards** @ 1.75 (confidence: 64%) — **LOST** 6 cards — the 4.5 line went the other way. ✅ **Under 10.5 Corners** @ 1.63 (confidence: 63%) — **WON** 7 corners — clear of the 10.5 line. ✅ **Under 2.5 Goals (2nd Half)** @ 1.31 (confidence: 76%) — **WON** ⭐ Main Tip 2 second-half goals — clear of the 2.5 line. ❌ **Correct Score: 1-1** @ 6.80 (confidence: 12%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Double Chance (X2) | 1.57 | 65% | ❌ LOST | | Under 3.5 Goals | 1.53 | 66% | ✅ WON | | Both Teams to Score or Over 2.5 Goals | 1.36 | 68% | ✅ WON | | Under 4.5 Cards | 1.75 | 64% | ❌ LOST | | Under 10.5 Corners | 1.63 | 63% | ✅ WON | | Under 2.5 Goals (2nd Half) ⭐ | 1.31 | 76% | ✅ WON | | Correct Score: 1-1 | 6.80 | 12% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 4 of 7 tips won** (57% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 2.95 | 3 | | Corners | 9.6 | 7 | | Yellow Cards | 4.0 | 6 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 73% | — | The actual goals were close to our expected model, confirming our statistical analysis was well-calibrated. ## Head-to-Head History 14.02.26 Paris FC 0-5 Lens | 19.10.25 Lens 2-1 Paris FC | 02.07.22 Lens 0-0 Paris FC | 05.08.20 Lens 1-2 Paris FC | 02.03.20 Paris FC 0-2 Lens ## Pre-Match Odds | Lens Win | Draw | Paris FC Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 6.25 | 3.80 | 2.95 | An upset result — the market had the winner as the underdog at 6.25. --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*