Le Mans 0–3 Toulouse — Match Recap & Tip AnalysisLe Mans faced Toulouse in Ligue 1 on 16 October 2026. The match ended **0–3**, with Toulouse taking the victory over Le Mans. We placed **6 tips** on this match — **4 won** and **2 lost** (67% hit rate). ## Tip Results ❌ **Double Chance (1X)** @ 1.64 (confidence: 62%) — **LOST** The result fell outside the double chance coverage. ✅ **Over 2.5 Goals** @ 1.71 (confidence: 68%) — **WON** 3 goals — clear of the 2.5 line. ✅ **Both Teams to Score or Over 2.5 Goals** @ 1.40 (confidence: 88%) — **WON** ⭐ Main Tip 3 goals — clear of the 2.5 line. ✅ **Under 4.5 Cards** @ 1.57 (confidence: 64%) — **WON** 3 cards — clear of the 4.5 line. ✅ **Under 11.5 Corners** @ 1.31 (confidence: 75%) — **WON** 4 corners — clear of the 11.5 line. ❌ **Correct Score: 2-2** @ 11.00 (confidence: 7%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Double Chance (1X) | 1.64 | 62% | ❌ LOST | | Over 2.5 Goals | 1.71 | 68% | ✅ WON | | Both Teams to Score or Over 2.5 Goals ⭐ | 1.40 | 88% | ✅ WON | | Under 4.5 Cards | 1.57 | 64% | ✅ WON | | Under 11.5 Corners | 1.31 | 75% | ✅ WON | | Correct Score: 2-2 | 11.00 | 7% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 4 of 6 tips won** (67% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 3.50 | 3 | | Corners | 9.4 | 4 | | Yellow Cards | 3.9 | 3 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 79% | — | The actual goals were close to our expected model, confirming our statistical analysis was well-calibrated. ## Head-to-Head History 30.01.10 Le Mans 1-3 Toulouse | 20.09.09 Toulouse 2-0 Le Mans | 07.02.09 Toulouse 2-0 Le Mans | 13.09.08 Le Mans 1-2 Toulouse | 22.03.08 Toulouse 1-1 Le Mans ## Pre-Match Odds | Le Mans Win | Draw | Toulouse Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 3.00 | 3.60 | 2.35 | --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*