Latvia 1–2 Montenegro — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Latvia faced Montenegro in Nations League on 2 October 2026. The match ended **1–2**, with Montenegro taking the victory over Latvia. We placed **6 tips** on this match — **1 won** and **5 lost** (17% hit rate). ## Tip Results ❌ **Double Chance (1X)** @ 2.12 (confidence: 48%) — **LOST** The result fell outside the double chance coverage. ❌ **Under 2.5 Goals** @ 1.74 (confidence: 59%) — **LOST** 3 goals — the 2.5 line went the other way. ❌ **Over 3.5 Cards** @ 1.35 (confidence: 69%) — **LOST** 2 cards — the 3.5 line went the other way. ❌ **Over 8.5 Corners** @ 1.69 (confidence: 59%) — **LOST** 7 corners — the 8.5 line went the other way. ✅ **Under 1.5 Goals (1st Half)** @ 1.40 (confidence: 73%) — **WON** ⭐ Main Tip 1 first-half goal — clear of the 1.5 line. ❌ **Correct Score: 0-1** @ 6.10 (confidence: 17%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Double Chance (1X) | 2.12 | 48% | ❌ LOST | | Under 2.5 Goals | 1.74 | 59% | ❌ LOST | | Over 3.5 Cards | 1.35 | 69% | ❌ LOST | | Over 8.5 Corners | 1.69 | 59% | ❌ LOST | | Under 1.5 Goals (1st Half) ⭐ | 1.40 | 73% | ✅ WON | | Correct Score: 0-1 | 6.10 | 17% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 1 of 6 tips won** (17% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 2.32 | 3 | | Corners | 9.5 | 7 | | Yellow Cards | 5.0 | 2 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 64% | Yes (1) | The actual goals were close to our expected model, confirming our statistical analysis was well-calibrated. ## Head-to-Head History 07.09.21 Montenegro 0-0 Latvia | 24.03.21 Latvia 1-2 Montenegro | 07.10.20 Montenegro 1-1 Latvia | 15.08.12 Montenegro 2-0 Latvia ## Pre-Match Odds | Latvia Win | Draw | Montenegro Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 5.00 | 3.65 | 1.76 | --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*