KV Mechelen 4–3 St. Truiden — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

KV Mechelen faced St. Truiden in Belgian Pro League on 11 October 2026. The match ended **4–3**, with KV Mechelen taking the victory over St. Truiden. We placed **6 tips** on this match — **1 won** and **5 lost** (17% hit rate). ## Tip Results ❌ **Double Chance (X2)** @ 1.38 (confidence: 70%) — **LOST** The result fell outside the double chance coverage. ❌ **Under 3.5 Goals** @ 1.51 (confidence: 65%) — **LOST** 7 goals — the 3.5 line went the other way. ❌ **Under 5.5 Cards** @ 1.30 (confidence: 79%) — **LOST** ⭐ Main Tip 6 cards — the 5.5 line went the other way. ❌ **Under 9.5 Corners** @ 1.73 (confidence: 59%) — **LOST** 10 corners — the 9.5 line went the other way. ✅ **Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half)** @ 1.34 (confidence: 74%) — **WON** 4 first-half goals — clear of the 0.5 line. ❌ **Correct Score: 0-2** @ 12.00 (confidence: 12%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Double Chance (X2) | 1.38 | 70% | ❌ LOST | | Under 3.5 Goals | 1.51 | 65% | ❌ LOST | | Under 5.5 Cards ⭐ | 1.30 | 79% | ❌ LOST | | Under 9.5 Corners | 1.73 | 59% | ❌ LOST | | Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half) | 1.34 | 74% | ✅ WON | | Correct Score: 0-2 | 12.00 | 12% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 1 of 6 tips won** (17% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 2.99 | 7 | | Corners | 9.0 | 10 | | Yellow Cards | 3.8 | 6 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 73% | Yes (4) | The match exceeded our expected goals model significantly — a higher-scoring affair than the statistics suggested. ## Head-to-Head History 24.05.26 St. Truiden 3-0 KV Mechelen | 26.04.26 KV Mechelen 1-4 St. Truiden | 21.12.25 St. Truiden 1-0 KV Mechelen | 04.10.25 KV Mechelen 1-3 St. Truiden | 21.02.25 KV Mechelen 1-1 St. Truiden ## Pre-Match Odds | KV Mechelen Win | Draw | St. Truiden Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 3.15 | 3.50 | 2.27 | An upset result — the market had the winner as the underdog at 3.15. --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*