Kazakhstan 1–2 Moldova — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Kazakhstan faced Moldova in Nations League on 2 October 2026. The match ended **1–2**, with Moldova taking the victory over Kazakhstan. We placed **6 tips** on this match — **3 won** and **3 lost** (50% hit rate). ## Tip Results ❌ **Kazakhstan to Win** @ 1.90 (confidence: 54%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ✅ **Over 1.5 Goals** @ 1.48 (confidence: 69%) — **WON** 3 goals — clear of the 1.5 line. ❌ **Over 3.5 Cards** @ 1.57 (confidence: 61%) — **LOST** 2 cards — the 3.5 line went the other way. ✅ **Over 8.5 Corners** @ 1.73 (confidence: 61%) — **WON** ⭐ Main Tip 15 corners — clear of the 8.5 line. ✅ **Over 0.5 Goals (2nd Half)** @ 1.37 (confidence: 74%) — **WON** 2 second-half goals — clear of the 0.5 line. ❌ **Correct Score: 1-0** @ 5.50 (confidence: 13%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Kazakhstan to Win | 1.90 | 54% | ❌ LOST | | Over 1.5 Goals | 1.48 | 69% | ✅ WON | | Over 3.5 Cards | 1.57 | 61% | ❌ LOST | | Over 8.5 Corners ⭐ | 1.73 | 61% | ✅ WON | | Over 0.5 Goals (2nd Half) | 1.37 | 74% | ✅ WON | | Correct Score: 1-0 | 5.50 | 13% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 3 of 6 tips won** (50% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 2.39 | 3 | | Corners | 9.7 | 15 | | Yellow Cards | 4.5 | 2 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 65% | — | The actual goals were close to our expected model, confirming our statistical analysis was well-calibrated. ## Head-to-Head History 29.03.22Pen Kazakhstan 0-1 Moldova | 24.03.22 Moldova 1-2 Kazakhstan | 21.02.19 Kazakhstan 1-0 Moldova | 18.02.15 Moldova 1-1 Kazakhstan | 06.02.13 Moldova 1-3 Kazakhstan ## Pre-Match Odds | Kazakhstan Win | Draw | Moldova Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 1.90 | 3.35 | 4.50 | An upset result — the market had the winner as the underdog at 4.50. --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*