Kasimpasa 4–1 Samsunspor — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Kasimpasa faced Samsunspor in Süper Lig on 18 October 2026. The match ended **4–1**, with Kasimpasa taking the victory over Samsunspor. We placed **6 tips** on this match — **3 won** and **3 lost** (50% hit rate). ## Tip Results ✅ **Double Chance (1X)** @ 1.43 (confidence: 68%) — **WON** The 4–1 result covered this double chance selection. ❌ **Under 3.5 Goals** @ 1.31 (confidence: 74%) — **LOST** ⭐ Main Tip 5 goals — the 3.5 line went the other way. ❌ **Both Teams to Score & Over 2.5 Goals (No)** @ 1.56 (confidence: 69%) — **LOST** 5 goals — the 2.5 line went the other way. ✅ **Under 4.5 Cards** @ 2.00 (confidence: 54%) — **WON** 3 cards — clear of the 4.5 line. ✅ **Over 7.5 Corners** @ 1.38 (confidence: 73%) — **WON** 15 corners — clear of the 7.5 line. ❌ **Correct Score: 1-0** @ 7.90 (confidence: 15%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Double Chance (1X) | 1.43 | 68% | ✅ WON | | Under 3.5 Goals ⭐ | 1.31 | 74% | ❌ LOST | | Both Teams to Score & Over 2.5 Goals (No) | 1.56 | 69% | ❌ LOST | | Under 4.5 Cards | 2.00 | 54% | ✅ WON | | Over 7.5 Corners | 1.38 | 73% | ✅ WON | | Correct Score: 1-0 | 7.90 | 15% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 3 of 6 tips won** (50% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 2.58 | 5 | | Corners | 9.8 | 15 | | Yellow Cards | 4.5 | 3 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 68% | — | The match exceeded our expected goals model significantly — a higher-scoring affair than the statistics suggested. ## Head-to-Head History 08.08.26 Kasimpasa 3-0 Samsunspor | 30.01.26 Kasimpasa 0-1 Samsunspor | 17.09.25 Samsunspor 0-0 Kasimpasa | 29.03.25 Samsunspor 0-2 Kasimpasa | 26.10.24 Kasimpasa 1-4 Samsunspor ## Pre-Match Odds | Kasimpasa Win | Draw | Samsunspor Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 2.50 | 3.40 | 3.05 | --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*