Jagiellonia 3–1 Ararat-Armenia — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Jagiellonia faced Ararat-Armenia in Europa League on 15 October 2026. The match ended **3–1**, with Jagiellonia taking the victory over Ararat-Armenia. We placed **6 tips** on this match — **4 won** and **2 lost** (67% hit rate). ## Tip Results ✅ **Jagiellonia to Win** @ 1.41 (confidence: 67%) — **WON** This prediction was correct. ✅ **Over 2.5 Goals** @ 1.61 (confidence: 61%) — **WON** 4 goals — clear of the 2.5 line. ✅ **Both Teams to Score or Over 2.5 Goals** @ 1.39 (confidence: 75%) — **WON** ⭐ Main Tip 4 goals — clear of the 2.5 line. ✅ **Under 5.5 Cards** @ 1.40 (confidence: 71%) — **WON** 5 cards — clear of the 5.5 line. ❌ **Over 7.5 Corners** @ 1.40 (confidence: 72%) — **LOST** 5 corners — the 7.5 line went the other way. ❌ **Correct Score: 1-1** @ 9.10 (confidence: 10%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Jagiellonia to Win | 1.41 | 67% | ✅ WON | | Over 2.5 Goals | 1.61 | 61% | ✅ WON | | Both Teams to Score or Over 2.5 Goals ⭐ | 1.39 | 75% | ✅ WON | | Under 5.5 Cards | 1.40 | 71% | ✅ WON | | Over 7.5 Corners | 1.40 | 72% | ❌ LOST | | Correct Score: 1-1 | 9.10 | 10% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 4 of 6 tips won** (67% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 3.16 | 4 | | Corners | 9.7 | 5 | | Yellow Cards | 4.4 | 5 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 75% | — | The actual goals were close to our expected model, confirming our statistical analysis was well-calibrated. ## Pre-Match Odds | Jagiellonia Win | Draw | Ararat-Armenia Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 1.41 | 5.00 | 6.90 | A predictable result, with the winner heavily favoured at 1.41. --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*