Ireland 1–1 Israel — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Ireland faced Israel in Nations League on 4 October 2026. The match ended **1–1** in a draw. We placed **6 tips** on this match — **3 won** and **3 lost** (50% hit rate). ## Tip Results ✅ **Double Chance (1X)** @ 1.35 (confidence: 71%) — **WON** The 1–1 result covered this double chance selection. ❌ **Over 2.5 Goals** @ 1.93 (confidence: 52%) — **LOST** 2 goals — the 2.5 line went the other way. ✅ **Over 3.5 Cards** @ 1.65 (confidence: 62%) — **WON** ⭐ Main Tip 4 cards — clear of the 3.5 line. ❌ **Over 8.5 Corners** @ 1.75 (confidence: 54%) — **LOST** 6 corners — the 8.5 line went the other way. ✅ **Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half)** @ 1.44 (confidence: 68%) — **WON** 1 first-half goal — clear of the 0.5 line. ❌ **Correct Score: 2-0** @ 10.00 (confidence: 16%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Double Chance (1X) | 1.35 | 71% | ✅ WON | | Over 2.5 Goals | 1.93 | 52% | ❌ LOST | | Over 3.5 Cards ⭐ | 1.65 | 62% | ✅ WON | | Over 8.5 Corners | 1.75 | 54% | ❌ LOST | | Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half) | 1.44 | 68% | ✅ WON | | Correct Score: 2-0 | 10.00 | 16% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 3 of 6 tips won** (50% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 2.76 | 2 | | Corners | 9.1 | 6 | | Yellow Cards | 4.5 | 4 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 70% | Yes (1) | The actual goals were close to our expected model, confirming our statistical analysis was well-calibrated. ## Head-to-Head History 27.09.26 Israel 0-3 Ireland | 04.06.05 Ireland 2-2 Israel | 26.03.05 Israel 1-1 Ireland ## Pre-Match Odds | Ireland Win | Draw | Israel Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 2.20 | 3.40 | 3.35 | --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*