Horsens 2–2 Aarhus — Match Recap & Tip AnalysisHorsens faced Aarhus in Superliga on 20 September 2026. The match ended **2–2** in a draw. We placed **6 tips** on this match — **2 won** and **4 lost** (33% hit rate). ## Tip Results ✅ **Double Chance (X2)** @ 1.27 (confidence: 76%) — **WON** The 2–2 result covered this double chance selection. ✅ **Over 2.5 Goals** @ 1.78 (confidence: 63%) — **WON** ⭐ Main Tip 4 goals — clear of the 2.5 line. ❌ **Over 2.5 Cards** @ 1.33 (confidence: 72%) — **LOST** 0 cards — the 2.5 line went the other way. ❌ **Over 8.5 Corners** @ 1.51 (confidence: 65%) — **LOST** 5 corners — the 8.5 line went the other way. ❌ **Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half)** @ 1.38 (confidence: 76%) — **LOST** 0 first-half goals — the 0.5 line went the other way. ❌ **Correct Score: 2-1** @ 12.00 (confidence: 8%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Double Chance (X2) | 1.27 | 76% | ✅ WON | | Over 2.5 Goals ⭐ | 1.78 | 63% | ✅ WON | | Over 2.5 Cards | 1.33 | 72% | ❌ LOST | | Over 8.5 Corners | 1.51 | 65% | ❌ LOST | | Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half) | 1.38 | 76% | ❌ LOST | | Correct Score: 2-1 | 12.00 | 8% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 2 of 6 tips won** (33% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 3.26 | 4 | | Corners | 10.1 | 5 | | Yellow Cards | 4.0 | 4 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 76% | No | The actual goals were close to our expected model, confirming our statistical analysis was well-calibrated. ## Head-to-Head History 15.07.26 Aarhus 2-0 Horsens | 02.07.25 Aarhus 2-1 Horsens | 30.06.24 Horsens 0-3 Aarhus | 08.07.23 Aarhus 2-1 Horsens | 03.03.23 Aarhus 2-0 Horsens ## Pre-Match Odds | Horsens Win | Draw | Aarhus Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 4.00 | 3.75 | 1.88 | --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*