Holstein Kiel 1–2 Arminia Bielefeld — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Holstein Kiel faced Arminia Bielefeld in Germany: 2. Bundesliga on 7 November 2026. The match ended **1–2**, with Arminia Bielefeld taking the victory over Holstein Kiel. We placed **7 tips** on this match — **2 won** and **5 lost** (29% hit rate). ## Tip Results ✅ **Double Chance (X2)** @ 1.57 (confidence: 64%) — **WON** The 1–2 result covered this double chance selection. ❌ **Under 2.5 Goals** @ 1.85 (confidence: 62%) — **LOST** 3 goals — the 2.5 line went the other way. ❌ **Both Teams to Score & Over 2.5 Goals (No)** @ 1.51 (confidence: 69%) — **LOST** 3 goals — the 2.5 line went the other way. ❌ **Under 6.5 Cards** @ 1.37 (confidence: 67%) — **LOST** 8 cards — the 6.5 line went the other way. ❌ **Under 10.5 Corners** @ 1.68 (confidence: 59%) — **LOST** 11 corners — the 10.5 line went the other way. ✅ **Under 1.5 Goals (1st Half)** @ 1.40 (confidence: 76%) — **WON** ⭐ Main Tip 1 first-half goal — clear of the 1.5 line. ❌ **Correct Score: 0-0** @ 8.80 (confidence: 20%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Double Chance (X2) | 1.57 | 64% | ✅ WON | | Under 2.5 Goals | 1.85 | 62% | ❌ LOST | | Both Teams to Score & Over 2.5 Goals (No) | 1.51 | 69% | ❌ LOST | | Under 6.5 Cards | 1.37 | 67% | ❌ LOST | | Under 10.5 Corners | 1.68 | 59% | ❌ LOST | | Under 1.5 Goals (1st Half) ⭐ | 1.40 | 76% | ✅ WON | | Correct Score: 0-0 | 8.80 | 20% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 2 of 7 tips won** (29% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 2.22 | 3 | | Corners | 10.0 | 11 | | Yellow Cards | 5.6 | 8 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 62% | Yes (1) | The actual goals were close to our expected model, confirming our statistical analysis was well-calibrated. ## Head-to-Head History 23.01.26 Arminia Bielefeld 2-2 Holstein Kiel | 10.08.25 Holstein Kiel 0-2 Arminia Bielefeld | 02.04.23 Holstein Kiel 2-3 Arminia Bielefeld | 14.01.23 Arminia Bielefeld 2-1 Holstein Kiel | 17.09.22 Arminia Bielefeld 4-2 Holstein Kiel ## Pre-Match Odds | Holstein Kiel Win | Draw | Arminia Bielefeld Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 2.47 | 3.35 | 2.90 | --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*