Heerenveen 1–0 Nijmegen — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Heerenveen faced Nijmegen in Eredivisie on 31 October 2026. The match ended **1–0**, with Heerenveen taking the victory over Nijmegen. We placed **7 tips** on this match — **2 won** and **5 lost** (29% hit rate). ## Tip Results ✅ **Double Chance (1X)** @ 1.40 (confidence: 69%) — **WON** The 1–0 result covered this double chance selection. ❌ **Over 2.5 Goals** @ 1.39 (confidence: 73%) — **LOST** ⭐ Main Tip 1 goal — the 2.5 line went the other way. ❌ **Both Teams to Score or Over 2.5 Goals** @ 1.19 (confidence: 79%) — **LOST** 1 goal — the 2.5 line went the other way. ✅ **Over 2.5 Cards** @ 1.70 (confidence: 65%) — **WON** 6 cards — clear of the 2.5 line. ❌ **Under 10.5 Corners** @ 1.75 (confidence: 59%) — **LOST** 12 corners — the 10.5 line went the other way. ❌ **Over 1.5 Goals (2nd Half)** @ 1.57 (confidence: 62%) — **LOST** 1 second-half goal — the 1.5 line went the other way. ❌ **Correct Score: 2-0** @ 14.00 (confidence: 9%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Double Chance (1X) | 1.40 | 69% | ✅ WON | | Over 2.5 Goals ⭐ | 1.39 | 73% | ❌ LOST | | Both Teams to Score or Over 2.5 Goals | 1.19 | 79% | ❌ LOST | | Over 2.5 Cards | 1.70 | 65% | ✅ WON | | Under 10.5 Corners | 1.75 | 59% | ❌ LOST | | Over 1.5 Goals (2nd Half) | 1.57 | 62% | ❌ LOST | | Correct Score: 2-0 | 14.00 | 9% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 2 of 7 tips won** (29% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 3.78 | 1 | | Corners | 10.0 | 12 | | Yellow Cards | 3.6 | 6 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 81% | — | Fewer goals than our model predicted. The defences outperformed expectations. ## Head-to-Head History 22.03.26 Nijmegen 2-2 Heerenveen | 21.09.25 Heerenveen 3-2 Nijmegen | 27.04.25 Heerenveen 1-0 Nijmegen | 19.10.24 Nijmegen 3-0 Heerenveen | 10.03.24 Nijmegen 2-0 Heerenveen ## Pre-Match Odds | Heerenveen Win | Draw | Nijmegen Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 2.07 | 4.05 | 3.10 | --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*