Hartberg 4–3 A. Lustenau — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Hartberg faced A. Lustenau in Austrian Bundesliga on 11 October 2026. The match ended **4–3**, with Hartberg taking the victory over A. Lustenau. We placed **4 tips** on this match — **1 won** and **3 lost** (25% hit rate). ## Tip Results ❌ **Double Chance (X2)** @ 1.67 (confidence: 55%) — **LOST** The result fell outside the double chance coverage. ✅ **Over 2.5 Goals** @ 1.77 (confidence: 62%) — **WON** ⭐ Main Tip 7 goals — clear of the 2.5 line. ❌ **Over 10.5 Corners** @ 1.45 (confidence: 67%) — **LOST** 9 corners — the 10.5 line went the other way. ❌ **Correct Score: 2-1** @ 8.10 (confidence: 8%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Double Chance (X2) | 1.67 | 55% | ❌ LOST | | Over 2.5 Goals ⭐ | 1.77 | 62% | ✅ WON | | Over 10.5 Corners | 1.45 | 67% | ❌ LOST | | Correct Score: 2-1 | 8.10 | 8% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 1 of 4 tips won** (25% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 3.22 | 7 | | Corners | 12.5 | 9 | | Yellow Cards | 2.7 | — | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 76% | — | The match exceeded our expected goals model significantly — a higher-scoring affair than the statistics suggested. ## Head-to-Head History 29.10.24 A. Lustenau 0-3 Hartberg | 29.10.23 A. Lustenau 0-4 Hartberg | 29.07.23 Hartberg 2-2 A. Lustenau | 02.06.23 A. Lustenau 5-1 Hartberg | 31.03.23 Hartberg 0-1 A. Lustenau ## Pre-Match Odds | Hartberg Win | Draw | A. Lustenau Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 2.15 | 3.45 | 3.70 | --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*