Hamburger SV 2–1 FC Koln — Match Recap & Tip AnalysisHamburger SV faced FC Koln in Bundesliga on 19 September 2026. The match ended **2–1**, with Hamburger SV taking the victory over FC Koln. We placed **6 tips** on this match — **4 won** and **2 lost** (67% hit rate). ## Tip Results ❌ **Double Chance (X2)** @ 1.52 (confidence: 64%) — **LOST** The result fell outside the double chance coverage. ✅ **Over 2.5 Goals** @ 1.61 (confidence: 65%) — **WON** 3 goals — clear of the 2.5 line. ✅ **Under 4.5 Cards** @ 1.87 (confidence: 61%) — **WON** ⭐ Main Tip 0 cards — clear of the 4.5 line. ✅ **Over 7.5 Corners** @ 1.31 (confidence: 75%) — **WON** 8 corners — clear of the 7.5 line. ✅ **Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half)** @ 1.33 (confidence: 77%) — **WON** 1 first-half goal — clear of the 0.5 line. ❌ **Correct Score: 1-2** @ 9.50 (confidence: 9%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Double Chance (X2) | 1.52 | 64% | ❌ LOST | | Over 2.5 Goals | 1.61 | 65% | ✅ WON | | Under 4.5 Cards ⭐ | 1.87 | 61% | ✅ WON | | Over 7.5 Corners | 1.31 | 75% | ✅ WON | | Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half) | 1.33 | 77% | ✅ WON | | Correct Score: 1-2 | 9.50 | 9% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 4 of 6 tips won** (67% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 3.36 | 3 | | Corners | 10.1 | 8 | | Yellow Cards | 4.1 | 5 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 77% | Yes (1) | The actual goals were close to our expected model, confirming our statistical analysis was well-calibrated. ## Head-to-Head History 14.03.26 Hamburger SV 1-1 FC Koln | 02.11.25 FC Koln 4-1 Hamburger SV | 18.01.25 Hamburger SV 1-0 FC Koln | 02.08.24 FC Koln 1-2 Hamburger SV | 07.01.23 FC Koln 4-0 Hamburger SV ## Pre-Match Odds | Hamburger SV Win | Draw | FC Koln Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 2.65 | 3.70 | 2.57 | --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*