Groningen 2–3 Sparta Rotterdam — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Groningen faced Sparta Rotterdam in Eredivisie on 1 November 2026. The match ended **2–3**, with Sparta Rotterdam taking the victory over Groningen. We placed **6 tips** on this match — **3 won** and **3 lost** (50% hit rate). ## Tip Results ❌ **Double Chance (1X)** @ 1.26 (confidence: 76%) — **LOST** The result fell outside the double chance coverage. ✅ **Over 3.5 Goals** @ 2.10 (confidence: 62%) — **WON** 5 goals — clear of the 3.5 line. ✅ **Both Teams to Score or Over 2.5 Goals** @ 1.25 (confidence: 81%) — **WON** 5 goals — clear of the 2.5 line. ❌ **Under 3.5 Cards** @ 1.71 (confidence: 61%) — **LOST** 4 cards — the 3.5 line went the other way. ✅ **Over 8.5 Corners** @ 1.32 (confidence: 73%) — **WON** ⭐ Main Tip 9 corners — clear of the 8.5 line. ❌ **Over 1.5 Goals (2nd Half)** @ 1.66 (confidence: 69%) — **LOST** 1 second-half goal — the 1.5 line went the other way. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Double Chance (1X) | 1.26 | 76% | ❌ LOST | | Over 3.5 Goals | 2.10 | 62% | ✅ WON | | Both Teams to Score or Over 2.5 Goals | 1.25 | 81% | ✅ WON | | Under 3.5 Cards | 1.71 | 61% | ❌ LOST | | Over 8.5 Corners ⭐ | 1.32 | 73% | ✅ WON | | Over 1.5 Goals (2nd Half) | 1.66 | 69% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 3 of 6 tips won** (50% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 4.28 | 5 | | Corners | 10.9 | 9 | | Yellow Cards | 3.2 | 4 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 85% | — | The actual goals were close to our expected model, confirming our statistical analysis was well-calibrated. ## Head-to-Head History 31.01.26 Sparta Rotterdam 2-0 Groningen | 30.10.25 Sparta Rotterdam 5-2 Groningen | 19.10.25 Groningen 0-2 Sparta Rotterdam | 02.02.25 Sparta Rotterdam 1-0 Groningen | 09.11.24 Groningen 1-0 Sparta Rotterdam ## Pre-Match Odds | Groningen Win | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 1.78 | 4.25 | 4.05 | An upset result — the market had the winner as the underdog at 4.05. --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*