Greece 2–2 Netherlands — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Greece faced Netherlands in Nations League on 1 October 2026. The match ended **2–2** in a draw. We placed **6 tips** on this match — **2 won** and **4 lost** (33% hit rate). ## Tip Results ✅ **Double Chance (X2)** @ 1.36 (confidence: 73%) — **WON** The 2–2 result covered this double chance selection. ❌ **Under 3.5 Goals** @ 1.50 (confidence: 74%) — **LOST** ⭐ Main Tip 4 goals — the 3.5 line went the other way. ✅ **Under 4.5 Cards** @ 1.45 (confidence: 66%) — **WON** 2 cards — clear of the 4.5 line. ❌ **Under 9.5 Corners** @ 1.56 (confidence: 62%) — **LOST** 14 corners — the 9.5 line went the other way. ❌ **Under 1.5 Goals (2nd Half)** @ 1.91 (confidence: 57%) — **LOST** 2 second-half goals — the 1.5 line went the other way. ❌ **Correct Score: 0-1** @ 9.70 (confidence: 18%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Double Chance (X2) | 1.36 | 73% | ✅ WON | | Under 3.5 Goals ⭐ | 1.50 | 74% | ❌ LOST | | Under 4.5 Cards | 1.45 | 66% | ✅ WON | | Under 9.5 Corners | 1.56 | 62% | ❌ LOST | | Under 1.5 Goals (2nd Half) | 1.91 | 57% | ❌ LOST | | Correct Score: 0-1 | 9.70 | 18% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 2 of 6 tips won** (33% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 2.57 | 4 | | Corners | 8.7 | 14 | | Yellow Cards | 3.8 | 2 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 68% | — | The match exceeded our expected goals model significantly — a higher-scoring affair than the statistics suggested. ## Head-to-Head History 16.10.23 Greece 0-1 Netherlands | 07.09.23 Netherlands 3-0 Greece | 01.09.16 Netherlands 1-2 Greece | 28.04.04 Netherlands 4-0 Greece | 04.12.91 Greece 0-2 Netherlands ## Pre-Match Odds | Greece Win | Draw | Netherlands Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 3.35 | 3.70 | 2.12 | --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*