Galatasaray 3–1 Kasimpasa — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Galatasaray faced Kasimpasa in Süper Lig on 9 October 2026. The match ended **3–1**, with Galatasaray taking the victory over Kasimpasa. We placed **6 tips** on this match — **3 won** and **3 lost** (50% hit rate). ## Tip Results ✅ **Galatasaray to Win** @ 1.28 (confidence: 74%) — **WON** This prediction was correct. ✅ **Under 4.5 Goals** @ 1.30 (confidence: 77%) — **WON** 4 goals — clear of the 4.5 line. ❌ **Under 5.5 Cards** @ 1.45 (confidence: 69%) — **LOST** 7 cards — the 5.5 line went the other way. ✅ **Over 8.5 Corners** @ 1.54 (confidence: 66%) — **WON** ⭐ Main Tip 9 corners — clear of the 8.5 line. ❌ **Under 2.5 Goals (2nd Half)** @ 1.39 (confidence: 72%) — **LOST** 3 second-half goals — the 2.5 line went the other way. ❌ **Correct Score: 1-1** @ 10.00 (confidence: 11%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Galatasaray to Win | 1.28 | 74% | ✅ WON | | Under 4.5 Goals | 1.30 | 77% | ✅ WON | | Under 5.5 Cards | 1.45 | 69% | ❌ LOST | | Over 8.5 Corners ⭐ | 1.54 | 66% | ✅ WON | | Under 2.5 Goals (2nd Half) | 1.39 | 72% | ❌ LOST | | Correct Score: 1-1 | 10.00 | 11% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 3 of 6 tips won** (50% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 3.24 | 4 | | Corners | 10.2 | 9 | | Yellow Cards | 4.5 | 7 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 76% | — | The actual goals were close to our expected model, confirming our statistical analysis was well-calibrated. ## Head-to-Head History 17.05.26 Kasimpasa 1-0 Galatasaray | 21.12.25 Galatasaray 3-0 Kasimpasa | 02.03.25 Kasimpasa 3-3 Galatasaray | 28.09.24 Galatasaray 3-3 Kasimpasa | 17.03.24 Kasimpasa 3-4 Galatasaray ## Pre-Match Odds | Galatasaray Win | Draw | Kasimpasa Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 1.28 | 6.00 | 9.10 | A predictable result, with the winner heavily favoured at 1.28. --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*