Frosinone 4–2 Sassuolo — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Frosinone faced Sassuolo in Serie A on 16 October 2026. The match ended **4–2**, with Frosinone taking the victory over Sassuolo. We placed **6 tips** on this match — **4 won** and **2 lost** (67% hit rate). ## Tip Results ✅ **Double Chance (1X)** @ 1.50 (confidence: 68%) — **WON** The 4–2 result covered this double chance selection. ❌ **Under 3.5 Goals** @ 1.80 (confidence: 55%) — **LOST** 6 goals — the 3.5 line went the other way. ✅ **Both Teams to Score or Over 2.5 Goals** @ 1.27 (confidence: 74%) — **WON** 6 goals — clear of the 2.5 line. ✅ **Under 5.5 Cards** @ 1.35 (confidence: 69%) — **WON** ⭐ Main Tip 1 card — clear of the 5.5 line. ✅ **Over 8.5 Corners** @ 1.44 (confidence: 71%) — **WON** 9 corners — clear of the 8.5 line. ❌ **Correct Score: 2-1** @ 9.80 (confidence: 10%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Double Chance (1X) | 1.50 | 68% | ✅ WON | | Under 3.5 Goals | 1.80 | 55% | ❌ LOST | | Both Teams to Score or Over 2.5 Goals | 1.27 | 74% | ✅ WON | | Under 5.5 Cards ⭐ | 1.35 | 69% | ✅ WON | | Over 8.5 Corners | 1.44 | 71% | ✅ WON | | Correct Score: 2-1 | 9.80 | 10% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 4 of 6 tips won** (67% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 3.42 | 6 | | Corners | 10.7 | 9 | | Yellow Cards | 4.5 | 1 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 78% | — | The match exceeded our expected goals model significantly — a higher-scoring affair than the statistics suggested. ## Head-to-Head History 02.09.26Pen Sassuolo 1-1 Frosinone | 13.05.25 Sassuolo 0-1 Frosinone | 14.12.24 Frosinone 1-2 Sassuolo | 09.03.24 Sassuolo 1-0 Frosinone | 17.09.23 Frosinone 4-2 Sassuolo ## Pre-Match Odds | Frosinone Win | Draw | Sassuolo Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 2.52 | 3.75 | 2.77 | --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*