Freiburg (Ger) 4–1 Motherwell (Sco) — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Freiburg (Ger) faced Motherwell (Sco) in Conference League on 27 August 2026. The match ended **4–1**, with Freiburg (Ger) taking the victory over Motherwell (Sco). We placed **5 tips** on this match — **3 won** and **2 lost** (60% hit rate). ## Tip Results ✅ **Freiburg (Ger) to Win** @ 1.25 (confidence: 76%) — **WON** This prediction was correct. ✅ **Over 2.5 Goals** @ 1.47 (confidence: 66%) — **WON** 5 total goals cleared the 2.5 line. ✅ **Under 4.5 Cards** @ 1.70 (confidence: 55%) — **WON** This prediction was correct. ❌ **Over 8.5 Corners** @ 1.65 (confidence: 57%) — **LOST** The corner market didn't hit. ❌ **Under 2.5 Goals (2nd Half)** @ 1.39 (confidence: 72%) — **LOST** ⭐ Main Tip More second-half goals than our model predicted. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Freiburg (Ger) to Win | 1.25 | 76% | ✅ WON | | Over 2.5 Goals | 1.47 | 66% | ✅ WON | | Under 4.5 Cards | 1.70 | 55% | ✅ WON | | Over 8.5 Corners | 1.65 | 57% | ❌ LOST | | Under 2.5 Goals (2nd Half) ⭐ | 1.39 | 72% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 3 of 5 tips won** (60% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 3.40 | 5 | | Corners | 9.3 | 8 | | Yellow Cards | 4.5 | 2 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 78% | — | The match exceeded our expected goals model significantly — a higher-scoring affair than the statistics suggested. ## Head-to-Head History 20.08.26 Motherwell 1-3 Freiburg ## Pre-Match Odds | Freiburg (Ger) Win | Draw | Motherwell (Sco) Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 1.25 | 6.30 | 11.00 | A predictable result, with the winner heavily favoured at 1.25. --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*