France 1–1 Italy — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

France faced Italy in Nations League on 2 October 2026. The match ended **1–1** in a draw. We placed **6 tips** on this match — **5 won** and **1 lost** (83% hit rate). ## Tip Results ❌ **France to Win** @ 1.48 (confidence: 59%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ✅ **Under 3.5 Goals** @ 1.62 (confidence: 63%) — **WON** 2 goals — clear of the 3.5 line. ✅ **Over 2.5 Cards** @ 1.40 (confidence: 68%) — **WON** 5 cards — clear of the 2.5 line. ✅ **Over 7.5 Corners** @ 1.46 (confidence: 68%) — **WON** 10 corners — clear of the 7.5 line. ✅ **Under 2.5 Goals (2nd Half)** @ 1.32 (confidence: 75%) — **WON** ⭐ Main Tip 2 second-half goals — clear of the 2.5 line. ✅ **Correct Score: 1-1** @ 8.90 (confidence: 11%) — **WON** This prediction was correct. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | France to Win | 1.48 | 59% | ❌ LOST | | Under 3.5 Goals | 1.62 | 63% | ✅ WON | | Over 2.5 Cards | 1.40 | 68% | ✅ WON | | Over 7.5 Corners | 1.46 | 68% | ✅ WON | | Under 2.5 Goals (2nd Half) ⭐ | 1.32 | 75% | ✅ WON | | Correct Score: 1-1 | 8.90 | 11% | ✅ WON | **Overall: 5 of 6 tips won** (83% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 3.10 | 2 | | Corners | 9.3 | 10 | | Yellow Cards | 3.8 | 5 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 74% | — | Fewer goals than our model predicted. The defences outperformed expectations. ## Head-to-Head History 17.11.24 Italy 1-3 France | 06.09.24 France 1-3 Italy | 01.06.18 France 3-1 Italy | 01.09.16 Italy 1-3 France | 14.11.12 Italy 1-2 France ## Pre-Match Odds | France Win | Draw | Italy Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 1.48 | 4.80 | 6.10 | --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*