Fiorentina 0–3 Frosinone — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Fiorentina faced Frosinone in Serie A on 29 August 2026. The match ended **0–3**, with Frosinone taking the victory over Fiorentina. We placed **5 tips** on this match — **3 won** and **2 lost** (60% hit rate). ## Tip Results ❌ **Fiorentina to Win** @ 1.62 (confidence: 59%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ✅ **Under 3.5 Goals** @ 1.40 (confidence: 69%) — **WON** With 3 total goals, the match stayed under the 3.5 line. ✅ **Over 3.5 Cards** @ 1.65 (confidence: 60%) — **WON** ⭐ Main Tip This prediction was correct. ❌ **Under 9.5 Corners** @ 1.82 (confidence: 51%) — **LOST** The corner market didn't hit. ✅ **Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half)** @ 1.38 (confidence: 71%) — **WON** The first half delivered over 0.5 goals as predicted. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Fiorentina to Win | 1.62 | 59% | ❌ LOST | | Under 3.5 Goals | 1.40 | 69% | ✅ WON | | Over 3.5 Cards ⭐ | 1.65 | 60% | ✅ WON | | Under 9.5 Corners | 1.82 | 51% | ❌ LOST | | Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half) | 1.38 | 71% | ✅ WON | **Overall: 3 of 5 tips won** (60% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 2.79 | 3 | | Corners | 9.6 | 13 | | Yellow Cards | 4.4 | 6 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 71% | Yes (2) | The actual goals were close to our expected model, confirming our statistical analysis was well-calibrated. ## Head-to-Head History 11.02.24 Fiorentina 5-1 Frosinone | 28.09.23 Frosinone 1-1 Fiorentina | 07.04.19 Fiorentina 0-1 Frosinone | 09.11.18 Frosinone 1-1 Fiorentina | 20.03.16 Frosinone 0-0 Fiorentina ## Pre-Match Odds | Fiorentina Win | Draw | Frosinone Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 1.62 | 4.10 | 5.20 | An upset result — the market had the winner as the underdog at 5.20. --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*