Fiorentina 2–2 Atalanta — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Fiorentina faced Atalanta in Serie A on 29 October 2026. The match ended **2–2** in a draw. We placed **7 tips** on this match — **5 won** and **2 lost** (71% hit rate). ## Tip Results ❌ **Fiorentina to Win** @ 2.32 (confidence: 45%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ✅ **Over 3.5 Goals** @ 2.55 (confidence: 52%) — **WON** 4 goals — clear of the 3.5 line. ✅ **Both Teams to Score or Over 2.5 Goals** @ 1.35 (confidence: 78%) — **WON** 4 goals — clear of the 2.5 line. ❌ **Under 3.5 Cards** @ 1.90 (confidence: 60%) — **LOST** 5 cards — the 3.5 line went the other way. ✅ **Over 8.5 Corners** @ 1.75 (confidence: 55%) — **WON** 10 corners — clear of the 8.5 line. ✅ **Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half)** @ 1.34 (confidence: 81%) — **WON** ⭐ Main Tip 1 first-half goal — clear of the 0.5 line. ✅ **Correct Score: 2-2** @ 10.00 (confidence: 6%) — **WON** This prediction was correct. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Fiorentina to Win | 2.32 | 45% | ❌ LOST | | Over 3.5 Goals | 2.55 | 52% | ✅ WON | | Both Teams to Score or Over 2.5 Goals | 1.35 | 78% | ✅ WON | | Under 3.5 Cards | 1.90 | 60% | ❌ LOST | | Over 8.5 Corners | 1.75 | 55% | ✅ WON | | Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half) ⭐ | 1.34 | 81% | ✅ WON | | Correct Score: 2-2 | 10.00 | 6% | ✅ WON | **Overall: 5 of 7 tips won** (71% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 3.77 | 4 | | Corners | 9.2 | 10 | | Yellow Cards | 3.3 | 5 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 81% | Yes (1) | The actual goals were close to our expected model, confirming our statistical analysis was well-calibrated. ## Head-to-Head History 22.05.26 Fiorentina 1-1 Atalanta | 30.11.25 Atalanta 2-0 Fiorentina | 30.03.25 Fiorentina 1-0 Atalanta | 15.09.24 Atalanta 3-2 Fiorentina | 02.06.24 Atalanta 2-3 Fiorentina ## Pre-Match Odds | Fiorentina Win | Draw | Atalanta Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 2.32 | 3.65 | 3.00 | --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*