Finland 2–1 Albania — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Finland faced Albania in Nations League on 3 October 2026. The match ended **2–1**, with Finland taking the victory over Albania. We placed **6 tips** on this match — **5 won** and **1 lost** (83% hit rate). ## Tip Results ✅ **Double Chance (1X)** @ 1.36 (confidence: 71%) — **WON** The 2–1 result covered this double chance selection. ✅ **Over 1.5 Goals** @ 1.51 (confidence: 67%) — **WON** 3 goals — clear of the 1.5 line. ✅ **Over 2.5 Cards** @ 1.39 (confidence: 68%) — **WON** 6 cards — clear of the 2.5 line. ✅ **Over 8.5 Corners** @ 1.75 (confidence: 56%) — **WON** 13 corners — clear of the 8.5 line. ✅ **Over 0.5 Goals (2nd Half)** @ 1.35 (confidence: 74%) — **WON** ⭐ Main Tip 1 second-half goal — clear of the 0.5 line. ❌ **Correct Score: 1-0** @ 6.10 (confidence: 16%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Double Chance (1X) | 1.36 | 71% | ✅ WON | | Over 1.5 Goals | 1.51 | 67% | ✅ WON | | Over 2.5 Cards | 1.39 | 68% | ✅ WON | | Over 8.5 Corners | 1.75 | 56% | ✅ WON | | Over 0.5 Goals (2nd Half) ⭐ | 1.35 | 74% | ✅ WON | | Correct Score: 1-0 | 6.10 | 16% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 5 of 6 tips won** (83% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 2.29 | 3 | | Corners | 9.3 | 13 | | Yellow Cards | 3.8 | 6 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 63% | — | The actual goals were close to our expected model, confirming our statistical analysis was well-calibrated. ## Head-to-Head History 07.01.02 Albania 1-1 Finland | 01.09.01 Albania 0-2 Finland | 02.09.00 Finland 2-1 Albania | 02.09.81 Finland 2-1 Albania | 03.09.80 Albania 2-0 Finland ## Pre-Match Odds | Finland Win | Draw | Albania Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 2.42 | 3.05 | 3.25 | --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*