Fenerbahce 1–2 Besiktas — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Fenerbahce faced Besiktas in Süper Lig on 5 September 2026. The match ended **1–2**, with Besiktas taking the victory over Fenerbahce. We placed **5 tips** on this match — **4 won** and **1 lost** (80% hit rate). ## Tip Results ✅ **Double Chance (X2)** @ 2.00 (confidence: 54%) — **WON** ⭐ Main Tip The 1–2 result covered this double chance selection. ✅ **Under 3.5 Goals** @ 1.45 (confidence: 70%) — **WON** With 3 total goals, the match stayed under the 3.5 line. ✅ **Over 8.5 Corners** @ 1.36 (confidence: 70%) — **WON** The corner count went our way. ✅ **Under 1.5 Goals (2nd Half)** @ 1.88 (confidence: 53%) — **WON** The second half stayed under 1.5 goals as we expected. ❌ **Correct Score: 1-1** @ 7.80 (confidence: 13%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Double Chance (X2) ⭐ | 2.00 | 54% | ✅ WON | | Under 3.5 Goals | 1.45 | 70% | ✅ WON | | Over 8.5 Corners | 1.36 | 70% | ✅ WON | | Under 1.5 Goals (2nd Half) | 1.88 | 53% | ✅ WON | | Correct Score: 1-1 | 7.80 | 13% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 4 of 5 tips won** (80% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 2.78 | 3 | | Corners | 10.6 | — | | Yellow Cards | 3.8 | — | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 71% | — | The actual goals were close to our expected model, confirming our statistical analysis was well-calibrated. ## Head-to-Head History 05.04.26 Fenerbahce 1-0 Besiktas | 23.12.25 Fenerbahce 1-2 Besiktas | 02.11.25 Besiktas 2-3 Fenerbahce | 04.05.25 Fenerbahce 0-1 Besiktas | 07.12.24 Besiktas 1-0 Fenerbahce ## Pre-Match Odds | Fenerbahce Win | Draw | Besiktas Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 1.82 | 3.80 | 3.90 | An upset result — the market had the winner as the underdog at 3.90. --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*