FC Porto 2–1 Moreirense — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

FC Porto faced Moreirense in Primeira Liga on 4 September 2026. The match ended **2–1**, with FC Porto taking the victory over Moreirense. We placed **5 tips** on this match — **3 won** and **2 lost** (60% hit rate). ## Tip Results ✅ **FC Porto to Win** @ 1.20 (confidence: 79%) — **WON** This prediction was correct. ✅ **Under 3.5 Goals** @ 1.50 (confidence: 66%) — **WON** ⭐ Main Tip With 3 total goals, the match stayed under the 3.5 line. ❌ **Under 9.5 Corners** @ 1.82 (confidence: 54%) — **LOST** The corner market didn't hit. ✅ **Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half)** @ 1.34 (confidence: 73%) — **WON** The first half delivered over 0.5 goals as predicted. ❌ **Correct Score: 2-0** @ 5.60 (confidence: 16%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | FC Porto to Win | 1.20 | 79% | ✅ WON | | Under 3.5 Goals ⭐ | 1.50 | 66% | ✅ WON | | Under 9.5 Corners | 1.82 | 54% | ❌ LOST | | Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half) | 1.34 | 73% | ✅ WON | | Correct Score: 2-0 | 5.60 | 16% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 3 of 5 tips won** (60% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 2.93 | 3 | | Corners | 9.4 | — | | Yellow Cards | 4.8 | — | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 72% | — | The actual goals were close to our expected model, confirming our statistical analysis was well-calibrated. ## Head-to-Head History 15.03.26 FC Porto 3-0 Moreirense | 27.10.25 Moreirense 1-2 FC Porto | 02.05.25 FC Porto 3-1 Moreirense | 21.12.24 Moreirense 0-3 FC Porto | 24.11.24 Moreirense 2-1 FC Porto ## Pre-Match Odds | FC Porto Win | Draw | Moreirense Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 1.20 | 6.50 | 15.50 | A predictable result, with the winner heavily favoured at 1.20. --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*