FC Koln 1–1 Werder Bremen — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

FC Koln faced Werder Bremen in Bundesliga on 12 September 2026. The match ended **1–1** in a draw. We placed **6 tips** on this match — **4 won** and **2 lost** (67% hit rate). ## Tip Results ✅ **Double Chance (X2)** @ 1.77 (confidence: 58%) — **WON** The 1–1 result covered this double chance selection. ❌ **Over 2.5 Goals** @ 1.57 (confidence: 69%) — **LOST** 2 goals — the 2.5 line went the other way. ✅ **Under 4.5 Cards** @ 1.70 (confidence: 65%) — **WON** ⭐ Main Tip 3 cards — clear of the 4.5 line. ✅ **Over 8.5 Corners** @ 1.42 (confidence: 70%) — **WON** 13 corners — clear of the 8.5 line. ✅ **Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half)** @ 1.32 (confidence: 79%) — **WON** 1 first-half goal — clear of the 0.5 line. ❌ **Correct Score: 2-2** @ 11.00 (confidence: 7%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Double Chance (X2) | 1.77 | 58% | ✅ WON | | Over 2.5 Goals | 1.57 | 69% | ❌ LOST | | Under 4.5 Cards ⭐ | 1.70 | 65% | ✅ WON | | Over 8.5 Corners | 1.42 | 70% | ✅ WON | | Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half) | 1.32 | 79% | ✅ WON | | Correct Score: 2-2 | 11.00 | 7% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 4 of 6 tips won** (67% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 3.58 | 2 | | Corners | 10.6 | 13 | | Yellow Cards | 3.9 | 3 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 79% | Yes (1) | Fewer goals than our model predicted. The defences outperformed expectations. ## Head-to-Head History 12.04.26 FC Koln 3-1 Werder Bremen | 29.11.25 Werder Bremen 1-1 FC Koln | 16.02.24 FC Koln 0-1 Werder Bremen ## Pre-Match Odds | FC Koln Win | Draw | Werder Bremen Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 2.10 | 3.75 | 3.35 | --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*