FC Koln 1–2 Bayer Leverkusen — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

FC Koln faced Bayer Leverkusen in Bundesliga on 8 November 2026. The match ended **1–2**, with Bayer Leverkusen taking the victory over FC Koln. We placed **7 tips** on this match — **4 won** and **3 lost** (57% hit rate). ## Tip Results ❌ **Double Chance (1X)** @ 2.07 (confidence: 49%) — **LOST** The result fell outside the double chance coverage. ✅ **Over 2.5 Goals** @ 1.60 (confidence: 63%) — **WON** 3 goals — clear of the 2.5 line. ✅ **Both Teams to Score or Over 2.5 Goals** @ 1.34 (confidence: 72%) — **WON** ⭐ Main Tip 3 goals — clear of the 2.5 line. ✅ **Over 3.5 Cards** @ 1.53 (confidence: 63%) — **WON** 11 cards — clear of the 3.5 line. ❌ **Over 9.5 Corners** @ 1.65 (confidence: 60%) — **LOST** 8 corners — the 9.5 line went the other way. ✅ **Under 1.5 Goals (1st Half)** @ 1.65 (confidence: 57%) — **WON** 1 first-half goal — clear of the 1.5 line. ❌ **Correct Score: 1-1** @ 7.40 (confidence: 9%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Double Chance (1X) | 2.07 | 49% | ❌ LOST | | Over 2.5 Goals | 1.60 | 63% | ✅ WON | | Both Teams to Score or Over 2.5 Goals ⭐ | 1.34 | 72% | ✅ WON | | Over 3.5 Cards | 1.53 | 63% | ✅ WON | | Over 9.5 Corners | 1.65 | 60% | ❌ LOST | | Under 1.5 Goals (1st Half) | 1.65 | 57% | ✅ WON | | Correct Score: 1-1 | 7.40 | 9% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 4 of 7 tips won** (57% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 3.23 | 3 | | Corners | 10.7 | 8 | | Yellow Cards | 4.6 | 11 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 76% | Yes (1) | The actual goals were close to our expected model, confirming our statistical analysis was well-calibrated. ## Head-to-Head History 25.04.26 FC Koln 1-2 Bayer Leverkusen | 13.12.25 Bayer Leverkusen 2-0 FC Koln | 05.02.25AET Bayer Leverkusen 3-2 FC Koln | 03.03.24 FC Koln 0-2 Bayer Leverkusen | 08.10.23 Bayer Leverkusen 3-0 FC Koln ## Pre-Match Odds | FC Koln Win | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 4.20 | 3.95 | 1.78 | --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*