FC Dallas 3–0 San Jose Earthquakes — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

FC Dallas faced San Jose Earthquakes in MLS on 25 October 2026. The match ended **3–0**, with FC Dallas taking the victory over San Jose Earthquakes. We placed **7 tips** on this match — **3 won** and **4 lost** (43% hit rate). ## Tip Results ❌ **Double Chance (X2)** @ 2.00 (confidence: 51%) — **LOST** The result fell outside the double chance coverage. ✅ **Under 3.5 Goals** @ 1.72 (confidence: 61%) — **WON** 3 goals — clear of the 3.5 line. ✅ **Both Teams to Score or Over 2.5 Goals** @ 1.26 (confidence: 70%) — **WON** 3 goals — clear of the 2.5 line. ✅ **Under 4.5 Cards** @ 1.55 (confidence: 71%) — **WON** 2 cards — clear of the 4.5 line. ❌ **Over 8.5 Corners** @ 1.39 (confidence: 70%) — **LOST** 7 corners — the 8.5 line went the other way. ❌ **Under 2.5 Goals (2nd Half)** @ 1.39 (confidence: 74%) — **LOST** ⭐ Main Tip 3 second-half goals — the 2.5 line went the other way. ❌ **Correct Score: 1-1** @ 7.60 (confidence: 12%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Double Chance (X2) | 2.00 | 51% | ❌ LOST | | Under 3.5 Goals | 1.72 | 61% | ✅ WON | | Both Teams to Score or Over 2.5 Goals | 1.26 | 70% | ✅ WON | | Under 4.5 Cards | 1.55 | 71% | ✅ WON | | Over 8.5 Corners | 1.39 | 70% | ❌ LOST | | Under 2.5 Goals (2nd Half) ⭐ | 1.39 | 74% | ❌ LOST | | Correct Score: 1-1 | 7.60 | 12% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 3 of 7 tips won** (43% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 3.17 | 3 | | Corners | 10.6 | 7 | | Yellow Cards | 3.5 | 2 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 75% | — | The actual goals were close to our expected model, confirming our statistical analysis was well-calibrated. ## Head-to-Head History 17.05.26 San Jose Earthquakes 2-3 FC Dallas | 17.07.25 San Jose Earthquakes 2-2 FC Dallas | 26.06.25 FC Dallas 2-4 San Jose Earthquakes | 03.10.24 San Jose Earthquakes 3-2 FC Dallas | 25.02.24 FC Dallas 2-1 San Jose Earthquakes ## Pre-Match Odds | FC Dallas Win | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 1.85 | 4.15 | 3.80 | --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*