Famalicao 1–0 Arouca — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Famalicao faced Arouca in Primeira Liga on 6 November 2026. The match ended **1–0**, with Famalicao taking the victory over Arouca. We placed **7 tips** on this match — **2 won** and **5 lost** (29% hit rate). ## Tip Results ❌ **Double Chance (X2)** @ 1.62 (confidence: 62%) — **LOST** The result fell outside the double chance coverage. ❌ **Over 1.5 Goals** @ 1.40 (confidence: 73%) — **LOST** 1 goal — the 1.5 line went the other way. ❌ **Both Teams to Score or Over 2.5 Goals** @ 1.64 (confidence: 61%) — **LOST** 1 goal — the 2.5 line went the other way. ✅ **Over 4.5 Cards** @ 1.52 (confidence: 67%) — **WON** 5 cards — clear of the 4.5 line. ❌ **Under 9.5 Corners** @ 1.82 (confidence: 55%) — **LOST** 11 corners — the 9.5 line went the other way. ✅ **Over 0.5 Goals (2nd Half)** @ 1.30 (confidence: 77%) — **WON** ⭐ Main Tip 1 second-half goal — clear of the 0.5 line. ❌ **Correct Score: 1-1** @ 5.85 (confidence: 11%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Double Chance (X2) | 1.62 | 62% | ❌ LOST | | Over 1.5 Goals | 1.40 | 73% | ❌ LOST | | Both Teams to Score or Over 2.5 Goals | 1.64 | 61% | ❌ LOST | | Over 4.5 Cards | 1.52 | 67% | ✅ WON | | Under 9.5 Corners | 1.82 | 55% | ❌ LOST | | Over 0.5 Goals (2nd Half) ⭐ | 1.30 | 77% | ✅ WON | | Correct Score: 1-1 | 5.85 | 11% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 2 of 7 tips won** (29% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 2.60 | 1 | | Corners | 9.3 | 11 | | Yellow Cards | 5.9 | 5 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 68% | — | Fewer goals than our model predicted. The defences outperformed expectations. ## Head-to-Head History 22.07.26 Famalicao 0-0 Arouca | 06.03.26 Famalicao 1-0 Arouca | 05.10.25 Arouca 1-1 Famalicao | 02.08.25 Famalicao 4-1 Arouca | 05.04.25 Arouca 1-2 Famalicao ## Pre-Match Odds | Famalicao Win | Draw | Arouca Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 2.32 | 3.25 | 3.20 | --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*