Famalicao 1–4 Alverca — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Famalicao faced Alverca in Primeira Liga on 12 October 2026. The match ended **1–4**, with Alverca taking the victory over Famalicao. We placed **6 tips** on this match — **3 won** and **3 lost** (50% hit rate). ## Tip Results ❌ **Famalicao to Win** @ 1.92 (confidence: 54%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ✅ **Over 1.5 Goals** @ 1.35 (confidence: 74%) — **WON** 5 goals — clear of the 1.5 line. ✅ **Under 6.5 Cards** @ 1.39 (confidence: 74%) — **WON** ⭐ Main Tip 5 cards — clear of the 6.5 line. ❌ **Under 9.5 Corners** @ 1.93 (confidence: 53%) — **LOST** 11 corners — the 9.5 line went the other way. ✅ **Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half)** @ 1.47 (confidence: 66%) — **WON** 2 first-half goals — clear of the 0.5 line. ❌ **Correct Score: 1-0** @ 6.70 (confidence: 12%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Famalicao to Win | 1.92 | 54% | ❌ LOST | | Over 1.5 Goals | 1.35 | 74% | ✅ WON | | Under 6.5 Cards ⭐ | 1.39 | 74% | ✅ WON | | Under 9.5 Corners | 1.93 | 53% | ❌ LOST | | Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half) | 1.47 | 66% | ✅ WON | | Correct Score: 1-0 | 6.70 | 12% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 3 of 6 tips won** (50% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 2.61 | 5 | | Corners | 9.5 | 11 | | Yellow Cards | 5.0 | 5 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 68% | Yes (2) | The match exceeded our expected goals model significantly — a higher-scoring affair than the statistics suggested. ## Head-to-Head History 16.05.26 Famalicao 1-0 Alverca | 04.01.26 Alverca 1-0 Famalicao | 20.11.21 Alverca 1-2 Famalicao ## Pre-Match Odds | Famalicao Win | Draw | Alverca Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 1.92 | 3.45 | 4.55 | An upset result — the market had the winner as the underdog at 4.55. --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*