Excelsior 2–1 Sparta Rotterdam — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Excelsior faced Sparta Rotterdam in Eredivisie on 29 August 2026. The match ended **2–1**, with Excelsior taking the victory over Sparta Rotterdam. We placed **5 tips** on this match — **4 won** and **1 lost** (80% hit rate). ## Tip Results ✅ **Double Chance (1X)** @ 1.47 (confidence: 65%) — **WON** The 2–1 result covered this double chance selection. ✅ **Over 2.5 Goals** @ 1.55 (confidence: 63%) — **WON** 3 total goals cleared the 2.5 line. ❌ **Over 3.5 Cards** @ 1.57 (confidence: 61%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ✅ **Over 8.5 Corners** @ 1.31 (confidence: 71%) — **WON** The corner count went our way. ✅ **Under 2.5 Goals (2nd Half)** @ 1.36 (confidence: 73%) — **WON** ⭐ Main Tip The second half stayed under 2.5 goals as we expected. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Double Chance (1X) | 1.47 | 65% | ✅ WON | | Over 2.5 Goals | 1.55 | 63% | ✅ WON | | Over 3.5 Cards | 1.57 | 61% | ❌ LOST | | Over 8.5 Corners | 1.31 | 71% | ✅ WON | | Under 2.5 Goals (2nd Half) ⭐ | 1.36 | 73% | ✅ WON | **Overall: 4 of 5 tips won** (80% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 3.27 | 3 | | Corners | 10.8 | 10 | | Yellow Cards | 4.4 | 3 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 76% | — | The actual goals were close to our expected model, confirming our statistical analysis was well-calibrated. ## Head-to-Head History 17.05.26 Sparta Rotterdam 2-3 Excelsior | 14.09.25 Excelsior 0-1 Sparta Rotterdam | 17.02.24 Sparta Rotterdam 4-2 Excelsior | 01.10.23 Excelsior 2-1 Sparta Rotterdam | 05.03.23 Excelsior 1-4 Sparta Rotterdam ## Pre-Match Odds | Excelsior Win | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 2.37 | 3.75 | 2.75 | --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*