Excelsior 1–5 Groningen — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Excelsior faced Groningen in Eredivisie on 11 October 2026. The match ended **1–5**, with Groningen taking the victory over Excelsior. We placed **6 tips** on this match — **5 won** and **1 lost** (83% hit rate). ## Tip Results ✅ **Double Chance (X2)** @ 1.52 (confidence: 64%) — **WON** The 1–5 result covered this double chance selection. ✅ **Over 2.5 Goals** @ 1.57 (confidence: 71%) — **WON** ⭐ Main Tip 6 goals — clear of the 2.5 line. ✅ **Under 4.5 Cards** @ 1.45 (confidence: 74%) — **WON** 2 cards — clear of the 4.5 line. ✅ **Under 10.5 Corners** @ 1.65 (confidence: 60%) — **WON** 9 corners — clear of the 10.5 line. ✅ **Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half)** @ 1.32 (confidence: 80%) — **WON** 3 first-half goals — clear of the 0.5 line. ❌ **Correct Score: 3-1** @ 18.00 (confidence: 7%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Double Chance (X2) | 1.52 | 64% | ✅ WON | | Over 2.5 Goals ⭐ | 1.57 | 71% | ✅ WON | | Under 4.5 Cards | 1.45 | 74% | ✅ WON | | Under 10.5 Corners | 1.65 | 60% | ✅ WON | | Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half) | 1.32 | 80% | ✅ WON | | Correct Score: 3-1 | 18.00 | 7% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 5 of 6 tips won** (83% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 3.67 | 6 | | Corners | 9.8 | 9 | | Yellow Cards | 3.4 | 2 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 80% | Yes (3) | The match exceeded our expected goals model significantly — a higher-scoring affair than the statistics suggested. ## Head-to-Head History 02.05.26 Groningen 2-3 Excelsior | 05.12.25 Excelsior 0-2 Groningen | 16.01.24 Excelsior 0-2 Groningen | 25.02.23 Groningen 3-0 Excelsior | 08.01.23 Excelsior 1-0 Groningen ## Pre-Match Odds | Excelsior Win | Draw | Groningen Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 2.65 | 3.70 | 2.50 | --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*