Estrela 2–3 Benfica — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Estrela faced Benfica in Primeira Liga on 8 November 2026. The match ended **2–3**, with Benfica taking the victory over Estrela. We placed **7 tips** on this match — **6 won** and **1 lost** (86% hit rate). ## Tip Results ✅ **Benfica to Win** @ 1.25 (confidence: 77%) — **WON** This prediction was correct. ✅ **Over 2.5 Goals** @ 1.39 (confidence: 74%) — **WON** 5 goals — clear of the 2.5 line. ✅ **Both Teams to Score or Over 2.5 Goals** @ 1.25 (confidence: 78%) — **WON** 5 goals — clear of the 2.5 line. ✅ **Under 5.5 Cards** @ 1.39 (confidence: 70%) — **WON** 2 cards — clear of the 5.5 line. ✅ **Over 7.5 Corners** @ 1.31 (confidence: 74%) — **WON** ⭐ Main Tip 11 corners — clear of the 7.5 line. ✅ **Over 1.5 Goals (2nd Half)** @ 1.60 (confidence: 63%) — **WON** 4 second-half goals — clear of the 1.5 line. ❌ **Correct Score: 1-3** @ 9.10 (confidence: 8%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Benfica to Win | 1.25 | 77% | ✅ WON | | Over 2.5 Goals | 1.39 | 74% | ✅ WON | | Both Teams to Score or Over 2.5 Goals | 1.25 | 78% | ✅ WON | | Under 5.5 Cards | 1.39 | 70% | ✅ WON | | Over 7.5 Corners ⭐ | 1.31 | 74% | ✅ WON | | Over 1.5 Goals (2nd Half) | 1.60 | 63% | ✅ WON | | Correct Score: 1-3 | 9.10 | 8% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 6 of 7 tips won** (86% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 3.84 | 5 | | Corners | 10.0 | 11 | | Yellow Cards | 4.5 | 2 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 82% | — | The match exceeded our expected goals model significantly — a higher-scoring affair than the statistics suggested. ## Head-to-Head History 25.01.26 Benfica 4-0 Estrela | 16.08.25 Estrela 0-1 Benfica | 02.02.25 Estrela 2-3 Benfica | 23.11.24 Benfica 7-0 Estrela | 24.08.24 Benfica 1-0 Estrela ## Pre-Match Odds | Estrela Win | Draw | Benfica Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 11.50 | 6.60 | 1.25 | A predictable result, with the winner heavily favoured at 1.25. --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*