Erzurumspor 1–0 Samsunspor — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Erzurumspor faced Samsunspor in Süper Lig on 20 September 2026. The match ended **1–0**, with Erzurumspor taking the victory over Samsunspor. We placed **6 tips** on this match — **4 won** and **2 lost** (67% hit rate). ## Tip Results ✅ **Double Chance (1X)** @ 1.44 (confidence: 67%) — **WON** The 1–0 result covered this double chance selection. ❌ **Over 1.5 Goals** @ 1.39 (confidence: 71%) — **LOST** 1 goal — the 1.5 line went the other way. ✅ **Under 5.5 Cards** @ 1.31 (confidence: 79%) — **WON** ⭐ Main Tip 0 cards — clear of the 5.5 line. ✅ **Over 6.5 Corners** @ 1.33 (confidence: 73%) — **WON** 8 corners — clear of the 6.5 line. ✅ **Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half)** @ 1.50 (confidence: 65%) — **WON** 1 first-half goal — clear of the 0.5 line. ❌ **Correct Score: 0-1** @ 7.80 (confidence: 13%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Double Chance (1X) | 1.44 | 67% | ✅ WON | | Over 1.5 Goals | 1.39 | 71% | ❌ LOST | | Under 5.5 Cards ⭐ | 1.31 | 79% | ✅ WON | | Over 6.5 Corners | 1.33 | 73% | ✅ WON | | Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half) | 1.50 | 65% | ✅ WON | | Correct Score: 0-1 | 7.80 | 13% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 4 of 6 tips won** (67% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 2.50 | 1 | | Corners | 8.7 | 8 | | Yellow Cards | 3.8 | 5 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 67% | Yes (1) | Fewer goals than our model predicted. The defences outperformed expectations. ## Head-to-Head History 30.01.23 Samsunspor 2-1 Erzurumspor | 27.08.22 Erzurumspor 2-2 Samsunspor | 19.03.22 Erzurumspor 1-2 Samsunspor | 23.10.21 Samsunspor 0-0 Erzurumspor | 11.02.18 Samsunspor 1-0 Erzurumspor ## Pre-Match Odds | Erzurumspor Win | Draw | Samsunspor Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 2.57 | 3.15 | 2.82 | --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*