England 2–3 Spain — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

England faced Spain in Nations League on 26 September 2026. The match ended **2–3**, with Spain taking the victory over England. We placed **5 tips** on this match — **2 won** and **3 lost** (40% hit rate). ## Tip Results ✅ **Double Chance (X2)** @ 1.38 (confidence: 70%) — **WON** The 2–3 result covered this double chance selection. ✅ **Over 2.5 Goals** @ 1.78 (confidence: 57%) — **WON** ⭐ Main Tip 5 total goals cleared the 2.5 line. ❓ **Over 2.5 Cards** @ 1.30 (confidence: 74%) — **PENDING** This prediction missed. ❓ **Over 7.5 Corners** @ 1.43 (confidence: 68%) — **PENDING** The corner market didn't hit. ❓ **Correct Score: 0-2** @ 12.00 (confidence: 12%) — **PENDING** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Double Chance (X2) | 1.38 | 70% | ✅ WON | | Over 2.5 Goals ⭐ | 1.78 | 57% | ✅ WON | | Over 2.5 Cards | 1.30 | 74% | ❓ PENDING | | Over 7.5 Corners | 1.43 | 68% | ❓ PENDING | | Correct Score: 0-2 | 12.00 | 12% | ❓ PENDING | **Overall: 2 of 5 tips won** (40% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 2.97 | 5 | | Corners | 9.3 | 9 | | Yellow Cards | 4.2 | 3 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 73% | — | The match exceeded our expected goals model significantly — a higher-scoring affair than the statistics suggested. ## Head-to-Head History 14.07.24 Spain 2-1 England | 15.10.18 Spain 2-3 England | 08.09.18 England 1-2 Spain | 15.11.16 England 2-2 Spain | 13.11.15 Spain 2-0 England ## Pre-Match Odds | England Win | Draw | Spain Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 3.25 | 3.45 | 2.30 | --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*